In this episode, Jason welcomes bestselling author Harry Dent as a returning guest. Harry Dent, known for his bearish outlook on the economy, has appeared on the show multiple times over the years. The discussion revolves around whether Harry’s long-held economic predictions are finally coming true. Jason highlights Harry’s approach of studying demographics and predictable spending patterns, which he finds reliable. However, the complexity of the economy is acknowledged, with a humorous reference to economics being invented to make astrologers seem credible. The episode also promotes an upcoming cruise event and delves into an article from The Atlantic about the inaccuracy of recession predictions. The article explores factors like positive economic indicators, the role of the Federal Reserve, and the psychology of public perception. Ultimately, the episode concludes that economic forecasting is not a precise science, leaving the future of the US economy uncertain.
#EconomicOutlook #HarryDent #Demographics #RecessionPredictions #Demographics #FederalReserve #EconomicForecasting
Stay tuned for details regarding our upcoming 5 day Cruise on April 2024.
Then renowned economist Harry Dent discusses the current state of the economy and his predictions for the near future. He highlights the impact of massive stimulus injections, printing money, and raising interest rates. Dent explains that the combination of the 5.2 trillion dollar stimulus and tightening monetary policy will likely lead to a significant weakening of the economy over the next year. He emphasizes the importance of understanding the lags in economic responses and suggests that by the summer or fall of 2024, the economy could be facing a deep recession or even a depression. Learn more about Dent’s insights into economic cycles and technology trends.
Key Takeaways:
Jason’s editorial
0:00 About Harry Dent
1:19 Upcoming LIVE Cruise on April 2024
1:58 Article: How the recession doomers got the US economy so wrong
Harry Dent interview part 1
9:37 Welcome Harry “The Bear” Dent
11:10 2007 Baby boomer peak spending
14:40 Immigration adjusted birth index and peak spending years for each generation
21:52 Chart: FED printed 44% more money in 2 years AFTER COVID than 2008 to2014
26:52 Is the future still deflationary?
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Recession Doomers Got the Economy Wrong, Harry Dent Predicts Weakening Economy & Potential Recession
Over the past several years, there have been numerous predictions and warnings about an impending economic recession. Many experts and pundits have made bold claims about the state of the economy, often pointing towards various indicators and factors that supposedly point to an unavoidable downturn. However, renowned economist Harry Dent poses a different perspective, predicting a weakening economy and the potential for a recession.
Dent, known for his controversial but often accurate predictions, challenges the popular doom and gloom narrative surrounding the economy. Instead of buying into the common belief that a recession is inevitable, Dent argues that the current economic outlook points towards a weakening economy, with a potential recession on the horizon.
One of the primary reasons Dent predicts a weakening economy is the ongoing demographic trends. He suggests that the aging population will have a significant impact on various sectors, including housing, healthcare, and consumer spending. As the baby boomer generation retires and enters into a phase of reduced income and consumption, Dent anticipates a decline in these sectors and, subsequently, a weaker overall economy.
Furthermore, Dent points out that excessive debt levels and the potential for a financial bubble burst could exacerbate the economic downturn. He emphasizes that the unprecedented levels of debt, both in the private and public sectors, will ultimately constrain economic growth and make it difficult to maintain stability.
However, it is important to note that Dent’s predictions are not without their fair share of skepticism. Many critics argue that his past predictions have been overly pessimistic, failing to account for various economic factors or unforeseen events. Additionally, some economists argue that it is challenging to accurately predict short-term economic fluctuations, let alone the onset of a recession.
It is crucial to approach predictions with caution and consider a variety of viewpoints before drawing any conclusions. While Dent provides an alternative perspective to the dominant narrative, it is essential to critically analyze the economic indicators and factors at play.
Regardless of the disagreements and uncertainties, it is always wise to be prepared for potential economic upheaval. Whether a recession is on the horizon or not, individuals, businesses, and governments should continually assess their financial strategies, reduce debt levels, diversify investments, and plan for the unexpected.
In conclusion, the predictions of recession doomers may not align with the viewpoint of Harry Dent, who anticipates a weakening economy and the potential for a recession. Dent emphasizes demographic trends and excessive debt levels as key factors impacting the economy. However, it is crucial to scrutinize predictions and consider a range of perspectives before making any assumptions about the future state of the economy. Ultimately, being prepared for financial uncertainties is always a prudent approach.
The Atlantic? They suck. Doublethink 1984 article
Common sense would say if millennials are spending more on their house therefore less money is available to be spent on other businesses, products and services.
Should he not be driving cabs by now on the Gold Coast.
Astrology makes economics hokey
The longer Dent is wrong, the louder he becomes. I envision him in a nursing home one day yelling at the walls.
Harry dent was advising people to buy TLT when it was 170
I don't think these people are doomers as I am certainly one of them. We are realists, the inverted yield curve has a 100% accurate track record over 75 years. Why would you want to fight against that? Maybe the realists are a year off but certainly will be proven correct in the short-term. Even George Gammon knows the recession is coming, just a matter of timing. Now is NOT the time to go long in real estate in many markets imho….
What an idiot. Everything is headed to a recession. So what if they are off by 3 months. Why are interest rates 7%? Idiot!!!
Sharp interview, but Harry misses the mark on adjusted millennial size. Boomers are the wealthiest generation in human history. Plus, Gen X might live to 100+, Gen Y even higher. Boomer wealth? It's transitioning to Gen Y and down. Given the innovation and exponential growth ahead, we're looking at an economic boom like never seen in human history. Power plays? They might trip us up. But I’m all-in for the future. A dip? I'll snatch up the bargains. I've come to realise there are two types of people. Those who fear the worse and lose, and those who prepare for the worse and win.
Dent is the man. I saw him on the dark night. Really good guy
Your a very patient man Jason!
There is no way in hell that anyone can deny that we're about 5-7 years away from being a banana republic. And that's a conservative estimate.
The wealth gap is deep and getting deeper exponentially by the hour.
Its a dam shame hes nutts.
So much potential.
Dent has been predicting a crash in everything for about a decade now. Maybe he'll be right one day.
Cramers brothers does exist….
Isn't he supposed to be a cab driver in Australia right now?
Harry dent is annoying
Someone buy Jason a drink
You have a distorted bias on reality
Harry told you almost everything,
He just left out one thing, if not next year
The following year or 2025…….
Everyone knows it's coming
Harry is a perfect example of how not to listen. Rich he's telling Jason "He's not listening". This is why he's always yelling. He needs to be center of attention and override anyone else who tries to speak.
Harry is a passionate character, as he should be when talking about financial repression and pain.
Thanks Jason
Second time I heard this guy. He is out there. I am not sure how to take him.
Good lord get to the Point Harry
Boomers have made so much money that they have been able to pay their parents' pensions, fund their children's education and amass first-class housing wealth.
This "old boomer money", this money will be burned in 20 years by the predators of the Health sector,
the serious thing for the average American of 30 years in 2023 and the average European of 30 years in 2023 will begin in 2045.
no recession for municipal employees,,the police (thank you boomers), the military, firefighters, teachers, and especially the health sector (thank you boomers): in France the health sector ranks 18 "medical specialties" out of the top 20 professions best paid!
the private sector is a sector to flee, sad end of entrepreneurship…