CPI Inflation Report Indicates Upcoming Rate Cuts

by | Oct 5, 2023 | Invest During Inflation | 40 comments

CPI Inflation Report Indicates Upcoming Rate Cuts




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cpi inflation report
00:00 Intro on Expectations
07:00 CPI Data & Report
30:32 When the Fed Cuts Rates.

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Rate Cuts COMING: CPI Inflation Report

The latest Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation report has just been released, indicating a possible rate cut on the horizon. This news comes as a relief to many consumers and businesses who have been grappling with high interest rates and the increasing cost of borrowing.

The CPI measures the average change over time in the prices paid by urban consumers for a market basket of consumer goods and services. It serves as a crucial indicator of inflation, which has a significant impact on the economy. High inflation rates erode the value of money and can lead to economic instability.

The recently published CPI inflation report indicates that inflation rates have dipped below the target set by central banks. This offers a strong indication that a rate cut may be necessary to stimulate economic growth and maintain price stability.

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When inflation is lower than expected, central banks, like the Federal Reserve in the United States or the Bank of England, often resort to lowering interest rates. By doing so, they aim to boost spending and investment, as lower interest rates make borrowing more affordable.

The potential rate cut is good news for borrowers, such as homebuyers, and businesses seeking loans to expand or invest. Lower interest rates mean that the cost of borrowing decreases, making it more attractive for consumers and businesses to take out loans. This can lead to increased spending, which in turn stimulates economic growth.

However, the prospect of rate cuts isn’t welcomed by everyone. Savers and those living off fixed incomes could suffer from lower interest rates, as they may see a decrease in returns on their savings and investments. Risk-averse consumers could also be discouraged from saving, as the returns may seem less lucrative.

Nevertheless, central banks have a dual mandate to strike a balance between controlling inflation and fostering economic growth. If inflation rates remain below target, policymakers may prioritize stimulating economic activity by cutting rates. This move can be seen as a proactive measure to prevent a potential slowdown or recession.

Ultimately, the decision to cut interest rates will be based on various economic indicators, in addition to the CPI inflation report. Central banks consider factors such as employment rates, GDP growth, and global economic conditions. It is important to remember that while rate cuts can have positive short-term effects, they need to be executed prudently to avoid sparking excessive inflation in the future.

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As consumers and businesses eagerly await the central banks’ decisions, the CPI inflation report serves as an essential guide in understanding the state of the economy. It provides valuable insights into inflation trends and hints at potential rate cuts in the near future. While rate cuts can offer relief to borrowers and stimulate economic growth, their impact on savers and the broader economy must be carefully considered.

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40 Comments

  1. lloyd l

    35:10 lmao that trump impression was comedy gold

  2. backrack01

    From March..its only down .1%
    Its not a good report.
    CPI is actually up month over month .4%
    Feds clearly stated they look at Core inflation anyways. And thats "sticky".
    Thing's dont look good and im expecting one more hike.

  3. Elisa O'Keefe-Smith

    Honestly there should be deflation because 2022 inflation was so bad. Should be easy to come in at only low % Y.O.Y. And they still still can’t come in at a reasonable inflation rate.

  4. Tobias

    Kevin is so focused on supporting his theory the Nike Swoosh and the bottom is in so now Kevin thinks that the FED will cut rates… Crazy talk that 5.5% Core CPI that FED cuts rates… Powell strongly said that sustained 2% inflation is the goal, not 5% inflation. Plus cutting rates with 3.4% unemployment with 2 jobs for 1 person looking for job and then cut rates will only create more wage spiral. Id love to hear how cutting rates with 3.4% unemployment will not create an inflation spike.

  5. jon H

    When this comes all crashing down so many people are going to be so shocked even tho the evidence is right Infront of there face…. George gammon was showing that in past inflation dosnt come down properly until there is big rates and big unemployment….

  6. Aaron Lansford

    I think inflation expectations must be down for an extended period of time before the Fed cuts. While inflation is their primary concern, the other part they reference often is the labor market. I think they are also looking for a weaker job market to feel confident that inflation expectations will remain low and not spike up again if they begin to cut rates. I think they think if the economy and labor market are still strong, it’s too risky to begin to cut so quickly, because inflation expectations could easily spike up again if they cut too soon. Just my two cents.

  7. Carson C

    Kevin – the live streams create so much content that value goes down and it's difficult to keep up with the volume. I end up paying attention less, and then skipping videos. I say this as a fan that watches every video. I'm loving the higher quality content in less time. Keep focusing on that. If you save the live streams for special events or stressful times in the market then that makes them must see videos too. Thanks for all of the hard work bud!

  8. nick calla

    Everyone needs housing tho, can not purchase some goods. Untill housing comes WAY down..fed is staying the course. Need a massive downturn to reel this all in or inflation quickly shoots back up

  9. nick calla

    Hes not wrong, dininfaltion is inevitable. When no one can afford anything you can only defy gravity so long

  10. HillbillyStockPicks

    $SRGA, Going to make big moves higher, get ready for 200% upside

  11. chris feterl

    Do the live streams in the afternoon, (closing bell) as most entrepreneurs who have not made it yet. (Myself included) are grinding it out first thing in the morning, tending their fires!!!

  12. S. Moore

    19:05 Supply-side destruction inflation will return with a vengeance when WW3 is launched in earnest in 2024/25. We are in the eye of the hurricane with a brief respite and ephemeral re-globalization. Fed will be forced to stimulate in 2024 but then will have to raise interest rates again choking off the markets by 2025ish.

  13. George Orwell

    only 2 more meetings until summer break… first chance of cuts in september, for that to happen energy companies have to stop having jacked prices.

  14. tactileslut

    Volatility is what makes trading fun. Love those 2-5% swings, and the joy of having bet it the right way around.

  15. Han Cholo

    Nah Kevin, we have had money printing since 2009. I normally agree with you but I think this is where you are incorrect. Money printing went into overdrive during Covid.

  16. Jigsaw master 1

    You are ridiculous to say we will look back at inflation in 2030. What kind of prediction is that?!

  17. red32303

    Being predictive is much more valuable than being reactive

  18. Shawn

    Glad j tuned in today to hear Kevin explain why CPI doesn't have much to do with your cost of living.

  19. Solid Nate

    Rates higher for longer. Quit dreaming.

  20. hyperbolekid

    Nike Swoosh in full effect still !!

  21. Lyle Burlingame

    Kev I love how you work in your segways to the coupon codes
    It’s entertaining, screw the haters !!

  22. Christopher Upton

    Rate cuts coincide with stock rally only if the cuts are not to offset recession… Or if they overcut

  23. The ReRe

    Core CPI is 5% and one year expectations is 3%?

  24. John s

    Kevin thoughts on debt ceiling getting resolved fed selling treasuries again and money flowing out of stocks?

  25. Marilynn Schroeder

    Kevin, get real. 2% inflation is not attainable, even at these decreases. No rate cuts this year.

  26. Luke Scott

    Kevin talks about inflation constantly then continues to jack up his prices and brags about it… I’ve been following for a long time but that’s not a good look…

  27. A

    Pic of dog please!

  28. Professor Tweedypooper

    The Fed will find some emergency or hope something breaks to justify a rate cut that acts as a diversion.

  29. John s

    Cplie

  30. Don and Bev Perkins

    Rent is slow.. partially smaller landlords being later on raising and partially rent control slowing growth and effecting min raises every year

  31. Jermon Green

    well done Youtube Business News Anchor MeetKevin

  32. Vincent Samaha

    Prices would naturally come down if the money printers were shut off. Even if AI did everything for us, more money would just be printed.

  33. Leek

    Ah yes, my favorite financial indicator, the Nike swoosh pattern

  34. Rjh

    Too good to be true

  35. Colby Cockburn

    How could market open livestreams possibly be bad for the viewer?

  36. Mat Guerra

    At least he doesn't promote anything like regular tv.

  37. William Johnson

    Government default coming. CPI inflation doesn't amount to a hill of beans compared to default. Even if Biden refuses default, our nutty Supreme Court will decide. In the meantime interest rates are likely to nervously move up, and especially if SCOTUS cans the 14th Amendment, Section 4.

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