I am skeptical of inflation projections!

by | Dec 19, 2023 | Invest During Inflation | 11 comments

I am skeptical of inflation projections!




I disagree with the inflation projections, too rosy and linear!! There is debt, there will be other issues…

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I Don’t Buy INFLATION Projections!

As consumers, we often hear about projections for inflation and how it may impact our spending habits. Economists and financial analysts make predictions about the future inflation rate, which can influence everything from interest rates to the cost of goods and services. However, I don’t buy into these inflation projections.

First and foremost, projections are just that – predictions. They are based on historical data and economic indicators, but they are still just educated guesses about what may happen in the future. The truth is, the economy is complex and unpredictable, and there are many factors that can impact inflation rates, such as changes in government policy, global economic conditions, and consumer behavior.

Furthermore, the accuracy of inflation projections is often called into question. Economists and analysts have been known to be off the mark when it comes to predicting inflation rates. This can be due to unforeseen events or shifts in the economy that were not accounted for in their models. In other words, projections are not set in stone and should not be relied upon as gospel.

Another reason why I don’t buy into inflation projections is that they can create unnecessary fear and anxiety among consumers. When people hear that inflation is projected to rise, they may begin to panic and make drastic changes to their spending habits. This can have a ripple effect on the economy and contribute to instability.

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Instead of focusing on inflation projections, I believe it is more prudent to stay informed about economic trends and to make decisions based on personal financial goals and circumstances. It’s important to have a well-diversified portfolio and to be prepared for the possibility of inflation, but not to overreact to projections that may or may not come to fruition.

In conclusion, I don’t buy into inflation projections because they are not always accurate and can create unnecessary anxiety among consumers. It’s important to stay informed about economic trends, but not to make decisions based solely on projections. Instead, focus on personal financial goals and be prepared for the possibility of inflation, without letting it dictate your every move.

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11 Comments

  1. @Whitengr

    Hmm dont you think there is a possibility for USA to grow out of this ? Massively strong companies there. USA economy always proved doubters wrong why wouldnt it happen again

  2. @surfnbacker84

    “Inflation is transitory”

  3. @Dan-fb8wj

    Are you suggesting that if/when recession occurs the fed will be forced to enact lose monetary policy again thus leading to an increase in inflation again?

  4. @stephenkowalski2448

    Yes, I can imagine just a repeat of history, and yes inflation is good for debt

  5. @davidperlmutter252

    Useless macro speculation. Tell me about companies

  6. @boratsmagadijev940

    FED knows about debt, why then they project this ? Makes no sense, right ?!

  7. @carefree85a

    So would you consider gold cheap right now though its fairly high historically as a hedge or would you concentrate on inflation investments like gas. or neither just continue the strategy of finding value opportunities. I certainly am looking for gold to drop if inflation drops for a year to invest in before the recession.

  8. @siggiAg86

    Agreed

  9. @Eline_Meijer

    I bet on a +3% inflation for the next 10 years

  10. @jonathanmontgomery5178

    Demand destruction won’t cure inflation if it’s accompanied by lower productivity. Higher energy prices, aging populations, higher trade barriers – all factors indicating chronic inflation, imo

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