This week Real Vision’s Roger Hirst uses Refinitiv’s best-in-class data to look at the recent break out in crude oil prices and the ongoing squeeze in agricultural products. US inflation may have peaked in H1, but that doesn’t mean it will quickly drop back to ‘normal’ levels. Furthermore, if it continues to spread from durable goods to essentials such as food and energy, then the Fed may have an even harder job on its hands.
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Inflation will rage for years in a brutal up and down cycle slowly dissipating as lives and businesses are destroyed. I learned this well in 1981+ and the USA population was more self sufficient then. This is the Summer of Rage.
Rising prices and always and everywhere the result of bad governmental policy.
Raising interest rates will not increase supply to relieve inflationary pressures. So raising rates will only destroy demand to match the supply. To me, this is a war on our economy to shrink it down to be small enough to be happy with the reduced supply. Peter states recession is not the cure for inflation. The rebuttal was not in 1983. There seems to be no distinction from inflation caused by expanded money for supply and inflation caused by reduced supply. We have too much government.
What we need is less government. The smaller the government the greater the citizen. I did not say no government, I said less government.
Amazing charity. EU Rejecting cheap energy and diverting it to developing economies like China, India etc. Economic collapse in Europe is a price worth paying. EU politicians will demand a pay rise for meeting green targets.
I only listen to ppl with British accents. Why is that?
For some reason I can never focus on this guy. Maybe the accent; probably a me problem. Anyway, inflation will soon be slowing.
Guy really need to learn how to match the tie to shirt.
Speaking as a CPA, the Federal Reserve's inflation target should be 0%, not 2%+ CPI. Anything more than 0% is theft by the government from the people. Not to mention, "2% CPI" is really 5%+ true inflation if you use an independent measure of inflation like Shadowstats or Chapwood Index rather than the government's artificial CPI. The government's CPI metric is intentionally designed to leave out certain baskets of goods and services that Americans spend their money on, because it benefits government to underreport true inflation (lower costs of paying huge government debt, and lower increases to government payouts like social security).
Blame inflation caused by the government's massive spending and Federal Reserve's monetary policies.
Inflation is a hidden tax and literal theft by government through intentional devaluation of the currency and as a result, citizens' purchasing power.
Inflation is presently declining. The problem is the fed is looking at backward looking data to make forward looking policy. Consumer goods are experiencing high inventories. Prices will soon come down.
Thank you, Roger.
When will:
1. US NG price and EU NG price intersect
2. What will be the ramifications when they do
3. Trading Ag has become interesting, you think?
Peace
US used to import products and export dollars to keep the dollar reserve system going.
Now, US recalling dollars and exporting inflation to other countries as dollar liquidity dries up.
Yes
,what's the best way to make money from crypto trading
Inflation will keep rising in the US and a recession is inevitable at this point.