Inflation Is Last Year, Now You Have Investing With Rising REAL Rates

by | Oct 4, 2022 | Invest During Inflation | 31 comments

Inflation Is Last Year, Now You Have Investing With Rising REAL Rates




Inflation might be passé, so one should think about rising real rates when it comes to investing. Inflation investments are likely too late.

0:00 Inflation
1:15 Current Investing Situation
6:13 Historical Comparison
7:43 Investment Vehicles for Current Environment
16:11 Long-Term Value Perspective

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See also  Prediction: When Will Inflation Get Back Down to 2%?

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31 Comments

  1. Value Investing with Sven Carlin, Ph.D.

    WARNING: As the channel grows (thank you all for that), there are more and more scammers impersonating me. The only thing I am selling is my Research Platform and Book ​​https://sven-carlin-research-platform.teachable.com/p/stock-market-research-platform

    All that I do, the real links to my content are in the description of the video, I don't give out my Whatsapp number and I don't sell any Cryptocurrency related things! BE CAREFUL OUT THERE!

  2. alias name

    10 dollars of groceries now is a couple snacks and a beverage.

  3. massimo martella

    Hi Sven, thanks for the great info, as always.
    Can I pick your mind on something related to mortgage rate. In EU they are hiking hard, also due to the ECB increasing the rate very soon. In 12-18 months maybe the ECB will have created a recession and will need to stop and even reduce interest rates. With a recession people will sell short term bond and ideally buy more longer term (10+ y). Could that be the best time to do a mortgage or inflation is a variable too hard to predict?
    I know with inflation is always time to to debt so maybe no point is waiting another year….and I also know 2020 was the best time for mortgage but was not in my plans at that time 🙂
    Thanks a lot for everything Sven

  4. skyeye

    "Interest rates and inflation" chart is actually missing the inflation which should be annotated as pale blue, rendering chart useless…

  5. Mark A

    So buy BRKB : )
    Ty for another great video

  6. dino sgura

    This 2022 looks like a 2007 with steroids. Pretty scary.

  7. tom-dus

    We have to consider the special situation in the Eurozone, too. The ECB is obviously unable to rise interest rates efficiently, due to the fact that it is entangled in (illegal) government funding. That creates a spread of interest rates between the Eurozone and the USA and weakens the Euro continuously. With a weak Euro (now a weak currency like the Italian Lira) the costs for energy and raw materials will rise and trigger inflation in the Eurozone additionally. That all could endanger the German business model as economic center of the Eurozone and cause heavy political shocks like in times of Weimar Republic.

  8. Simon Nallan

    Pretty sure the inflation is higher now than what it was in 1980. They just measure it differently to make it look less bad.

  9. Morten

    Hi Sven
    Two sugestions for The yt portfolio.

    Adobe- no need for itruduction. Its down 30-40% for The year. its is a well run Company with loyal customer group. P/e 36.

    Jeudan – operates as a real estate and services company in Denmark. (Own a lot of historical buildings in Copenhagen)
    P/e 6. – Dividend (0,83%)
    Really like this Company, but is i a good buy, as a value investor?

    Thanks for your great work

  10. Deepzombie

    Always a pleasure and tons of information from watching your videos! Talking about cheap stocks, maybe something for your YouTube portfolio. I own $GT, why? Higher shipping cost might hamper cheap import of chines tires to the us, Gt bought cooper so covering more affordable tires in their product portfolio. Also, high oil price imo does not affect miles driven that much since the utility of transport is great, rather other expenditures like restaurants etc. will be affected. Cons, higher raw material costs but I think they have pricing power but not certain that is enough in this environment short term. Also, their OEM part might not fair that good short term. I’m confident that the value is there long term, what do you think?

  11. Ewen G

    With commodities crashing the best returning asset class could soon be cash for 2022. Never underestimate the power of a highly liquid cash cushion in your investment portfolio.

  12. Nassim Abed

    Sven, this video is worth more that all the interviews with Warren Buffett, combined. I feel guilty just realizing I didn't have to pay you $2000 to watch it. I mean it. Like and subscribe are done but they feel like a two penny tip at a Michelin star restaurant.

  13. Nassim Abed

    I'm familiar with the symbolism of bulls and bears but what does that African elephant behind you mean? ☺️

  14. Deadstone

    Funny, especially if you take into account that META and Netflix are value now :))))))

  15. sandro nitsche

    "Wallstreet, it's gonna be the death of me,
    Wallstreet – it's gonna be the death of me;
    I put all my money in stocks and bonds
    now I'm looking at bancruptcy –
    Wallstreet, it's gonna be the death of me."
    (Chris Jones)

  16. bernt einar

    I love Value Sven, and your videoes:)

  17. TimeToGetIntense

    Small correction. TIPS are on the bond market and their prices are rate sensitive. I Series savings bonds are the ones for individuals and limited to 10k.

  18. JOE KRAUS

    Sven. I love your content. Please keep sharing your knowledge. Question for you please you stay in your video that value 10 Xs when the real rate increases or during bear market but I don’t recall you saying why this is. Can you please give the background on why you would make a statement so we can understand the fundamental mechanics? Thank you

  19. EVNI

    Good video Sven yeah lets get it on bear market here we come!!!!!!!!!!!

  20. Carlo Campus

    Whenever I see your videos, I learn a lot! Thank you Sven!

  21. Michael

    Why are you persistently pulling up the DOW chart? People are investing in S&P500 index and ETF’s, not DOW.

  22. Barry Moore

    Thanks again.

  23. Hengmeister

    Sven could you analyse QFIN and Ternium? Seems like boring potential multibaggers that no one cares about

  24. Giuseppe Marcarelli

    Great video as always Sven!!!! For your youtube portfolio I recommend you to analyze POSCO Holdings. Seems a very great business trading low from its peak. The cash flows are really strong and a great dividend yield makes it a real bargain. I think one of the most important think to look here is even the management. Low and fair wages for the management and no stock option trading. Love you 😉

  25. Enrique Timor Azorin

    Hello Sven, I have a question regarding the Vanguard table shown in the video, classifying the type of asset against their performance through time. Warren Buffet is buying a great portion of Occidental Petroleum, is this company classified as "commodity" or as "value" in the Vanguard table?

  26. Derek Siavelis

    Sven do you have any good reads about Stagflation?

  27. Pickle Rick

    S tvojo pomočjo bom bogat

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