Article analyses S&P 500 Bear Markets. History Says 209 days left

by | Oct 13, 2022 | Resources | 7 comments

Article analyses S&P 500 Bear Markets. History Says 209 days left

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The longest bear market in history occurred in the wake of the dot-com bubble burst in the early 2000s, lasting a total of 929 days.

The shortest bear market lasted just 33 days, in the spring of 2020.

Since 1928, the S&P 500 has experienced 21 bear markets (not including the current downturn). That’s approximately one every 4.5 years, on average.

The average length of a bear market is 388 days.

Excluding the longest and shortest bear markets, the average length is around 330 days — or just under one year.
The S&P 500 began its descent in early January, but it didn’t officially enter a bear market until June 13, 2022 — or 121 days ago, as of this writing.

… I took 330 – 121 = 209 days left according to this article. Not associated with website.

Do you agree with this estimate? Do you know of any other macro events of why this time the period might be shorter or longer?

Source: [https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/10/12/how-long-sp-500-bear-market-last-history-says/](https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/10/12/how-long-sp-500-bear-market-last-history-says/)



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Article analyses S&P 500 Bear Markets. History Says 209 days left


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7 Comments

  1. vacityrocker

    It’s written by some idiot at motleyfool…. as bad as cramer

  2. Crustysockshow

    I’d gladly take 209 days ![img](emote|t5_2th52|4267)

  3. Papa_owl

    I think you left some tea leaves in the cup

  4. Icy-Subject-6118

    This makes a LOT of assumptions. Primary one being that the Margin calls yet to come aren’t worse than the worst margin calls in history. Now there’s a lot more money on the line. A lot more liability to be had. And soon it’ll come to fruition but not completion in the next 365 days imo. Multi year drop. The end of passive investing. The end of spy.

  5. Meat__Head

    The problem with looking at the bear markets in the past, is that a large percentage of the world back then didn’t have smartphones with stock trading platforms, to be steadily throwing money into the market on a daily basis.

  6. Dothemath2

    Yeah, it’s reasonable. 209 days until we’re at bottom or back to ATH?

  7. notausername86

    I think it’s going to be alot longer than that. I don’t think we will see much relief in the markets until 2024-2025, if we see any at all….

    Then again if ww3 sparks up for real that might end the bear market (war is profitable) for a short while, but it would only be a delay to the inevitable.

    Our entire monetary system, to include the market, is built on a house of cards in the sand, and to me, the writing is on the wall signalling it’s about to collapse.

    The dollar is going to zero (and the rest of the world currencies) to make way for the fed coin and the “universal dollar”.

    We will all have to get chips in our hands in order to use the fed coin.

    Social credit score will be implemented and be used to keep the sheep in line. The poors will continue to be poor, while the ultra wealthy will continue to horde wealth.

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