BCB123 JAMES LAVISH: Searching for Signs of Recession

by | Sep 1, 2023 | Recession News | 19 comments

BCB123 JAMES LAVISH: Searching for Signs of Recession




Hedge fund manager, CFA & and macro analyst James Lavish stops by BCB for a 2nd time to discuss recession dynamics, competition with the dollar, the sovereign debt spiral & more.

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—The Informationist Newsletter by James Lavish
—The Macro Compass by Alfonso Peccatiello
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TIMESTAMPS
00:00:00 – Big Game Fishing
00:03:40 – Where’s The Recession?
00:35:40 – QE & monetary policy
00:46:37 – Bitcoin as a Reserve Asset, USD Hegemony, BRICS Rising
01:04:10 – US Credit Rating Downgrade

#Bitcoin #Crypto #Finance #Economics #Macro #Macroecon #Debtspiral #BTC, not #Crypto…(read more)


BREAKING: Recession News

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BCB123 JAMES LAVISH: Where’s The Recession?

In times of economic uncertainty, it’s natural for people to be wary of their financial well-being. The fear of a recession often looms large, and people tend to tighten their purse strings in anticipation of tough times ahead. However, there are always a few individuals who seem to defy the odds and thrive even when the global economy is in turmoil. One such person is BCB123 James Lavish.

James Lavish, often referred to as the “economic wizard,” has been a prominent figure in the financial industry for years. His bold predictions and accurate market analysis have earned him a reputation as one of the few who can weather any financial storm. What sets Lavish apart from others is his unwavering belief that there is no recession in sight.

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While many experts have predicted varying degrees of economic downturn, Lavish has consistently argued that the signs point in the opposite direction. His rationale is based on a deep analysis of economic indicators and a thorough understanding of market trends. Lavish argues that although certain sectors might experience temporary setbacks, the overall global economy is stronger than ever.

One of the key points made by Lavish is that technology and innovation have become the pillars of modern economies. With the rapid advancement of technology, the world is witnessing significant progress in various sectors, driving productivity and creating new avenues for growth. Industries such as e-commerce, artificial intelligence, and renewable energy are flourishing, creating opportunities for businesses and individuals alike.

Additionally, Lavish emphasizes the importance of consumer confidence. He believes that it plays a vital role in determining the trajectory of the economy. When consumers are confident about the future, they are more likely to spend, invest, and drive economic growth. Lavish argues that the recent surge in consumer confidence is a strong indication that recessions are unlikely in the near future.

While some critics dismiss Lavish’s optimism as mere wishful thinking, others see his predictions as a beacon of hope in uncertain times. His track record of accurately predicting economic trends, such as the 2008 financial crisis, has earned him credibility among his supporters.

However, it’s important to note that economic predictions are never foolproof. The global economy is influenced by numerous factors, both internal and external, making it susceptible to sudden changes. Even the most astute economists cannot account for unforeseen events or the impact of political decisions.

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So, where does that leave us? Is Lavish right in his assertion that there is no recession on the horizon? Only time will tell. As investors and individuals, it is important to stay informed, diversify our portfolios, and make wise financial decisions. While it may be tempting to follow the words of a renowned economist like James Lavish, it is always crucial to research, seek multiple opinions, and make informed decisions based on one’s own risk tolerance and financial goals.

In conclusion, BCB123 James Lavish is a prominent figure who boldly asserts that there is no recession in sight. His predictions are driven by a deep analysis of economic indicators and his understanding of market trends. While his optimism is refreshing, economic predictions are inherently uncertain, and it is essential for individuals to stay informed and make decisions that align with their financial goals. Only time will tell if Lavish’s unwavering belief in no recession is justified or if a downturn is just around the corner.

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19 Comments

  1. aarontwoptzero

    Geez let your guest speak without interrupting

  2. issen van

    A BRIC can be a unit of account, like a SDR, or USD. Perhaps you are thinking about it in the wrong way.

  3. issen van

    How do you calculate that 7%? What is wrong w/ a 7% gold standard, then?

  4. issen van

    Humans do not create.

  5. issen van

    Another way for the banks to increase the Capital/Asset Ratio to meet the FED’s minimum requirement is to reduce their capital, which is recessionary & deflationary, in & of itself, right?

  6. issen van

    If you grow the money supply by 5.1% per annum, you’ll get your 2% CPI. Very simple. ‘Inflation is always & everywhere a monetary phenomenon.’ It is the money supply, stupid! Watch Steve Hanke! What you say about inflation is flat-out nonsense.

  7. issen van

    That Alf guy re-posted ZeroHedge’s post as his own, & he doesn’t look at the money supply.

  8. issen van

    Is there anything between QT & QE?

  9. issen van

    Boris Becker

  10. issen van

    CPI is not only about groceries, it includes hundreds of items. & there is compounding.

  11. issen van

    Why will home prices fall w/ lower rates?

  12. issen van

    How about RRP?

  13. 9999

    James is THE MAN!!!

  14. Andario

    Macro Alf is trash

  15. Tenebrousable

    In what world can you hedge out a tens of percents bond valuation move? Seriously bothers me about Lavish etc, that they suggest it's a thing that they think that can be done? 1%, 1.5%? Sure. 20%? Who takes that other side? How?

  16. Daz Bea

    Love a bit of lavish on a Sunday.

  17. Aryn Stack

    Evergrande insolvent is about to have cascade of credit trouble globally.

  18. Peter Conley

    Stay hard boys.

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