By September 2023, THIS Will Propel the US Economy Towards a Severe Recession

by | Oct 25, 2023 | Recession News | 28 comments




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Title: The Impending Economic Crisis: Factors That Could Push the US Economy into a Major Recession by September 2023

Introduction:

The United States economy has experienced various ups and downs throughout its history. Periods of growth and prosperity have been interspersed with recessions and financial crises. As we look towards the future, some experts are expressing concerns about the possibility of a major recession hitting the US economy by September 2023. Several factors, both domestic and international, could contribute to this forecasted downturn. In this article, we will delve into some of these concerns and analyze the potential consequences.

1. Inflationary pressures and the Federal Reserve:

One key factor that could trigger a major recession in the US economy is the on-going battle against rising inflation. Despite the Federal Reserve implementing several measures to control inflation, such as increasing interest rates and reducing liquidity injections into the market, the risk of surging prices persist. If inflation continues to rise at an alarming rate, businesses may face increased costs of production and consumers may find their purchasing power diminished. This could lead to a decrease in spending and subsequently, a slowdown in the overall economy.

2. Fiscal deficit and mounting public debt:

Another significant concern is the continually widening fiscal deficit and the soaring public debt. Essentially, if the government continues to spend more than it generates in revenue, it will have to rely on borrowing, making the country vulnerable to a financial crisis and a potential recession. The accumulation of debt over time could spook investors, raising borrowing costs and diminishing the government’s ability to provide necessary stimulus during a downturn.

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3. Disruptions in global trade:

The US economy heavily relies on international trade and any disruptions to this system can have significant ramifications. Geopolitical tensions, trade disputes, and protectionist policies all pose threats to global trade. These conflicts can undermine economic growth worldwide, affecting US exports and leaving businesses and industries vulnerable. Slower growth in international markets paired with reduced global demand could severely impact the US economy, resulting in a recession.

4. Bursting of asset price bubbles:

Over the past decade, various asset classes, such as real estate and stocks, have seen significant appreciation in value. However, when market speculation and driven by excessive optimism overshadow the underlying value of these assets, the potential for market corrections or even a bubble burst increases. If such a scenario unfolds, it could result in a significant decline in asset values, loss of wealth, and reduced consumer and investor confidence, thereby driving the US economy into recessionary territory.

Conclusion:

While predicting the future of the US economy is inherently complex and subject to numerous uncertainties, it is crucial to acknowledge the warning signs and potential risk factors. The combination of persistently rising inflation, mounting public debts, disruptions in global trade, and potential asset bubbles poses a significant threat to the stability and growth of the US economy. By proactively addressing these concerns and implementing prudent economic policies, it may be possible to mitigate the risk of a major recession by September 2023.

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28 Comments

  1. Dayz4Life

    Where recession?

  2. JC 4 Evur

    Here we are in October 2023 with no major recession yet…or were you really talking about 2024?

  3. Rya J

    We are currently in September. Recession can’t happen given if savings is just emptying out and now that goes to credit cards. Should take the holidays and higher rates hold for 6 months and it’ll change some things but the labor market sucks in terms of pay. The pay is super low and you can’t find a good paying job.

  4. Wowza

    hey it’s September now and this never happened? ready to admit you’re just fear mongering for views?

  5. Mike b

    Amazing work

  6. Jay S

    One day left!!! LOL

  7. Michael Grubaugh

    7:07 I think it's hyperbolic to say we're seeing the most restrictive monetary policy in history. I know you quickly say, "…since the 1980's" right after, but you don't mention the almost 20% base rate we had in the 80's. Do the eighties not count as history? The 5.25% base rate we have right now is not really that bad. Maybe we've seen excessively loose monetary policy over the last three decades, fueling market speculation and extreme boom-bust cycles. The base rate now seems more than reasonable. It's still nowhere close to the all-time highs we saw in the eighties. Nowhere close.

  8. Voice of Raisin

    What do you mean “excess” savings?

  9. vikram katti

    You have quite a contratry view in the start vs in the end. In the start you mentioned that the savings will hit the bottom henc the recession start by Sept 2023. However in the last bit you mentioned that the recession will hit in the next 12-15 months. that's a very huge time window – isn't it?

  10. K A Nesiah

    Inflation adjusted SPY is up only 10% since early 2020. Future revenue growth of major US Brands like Tesla, Amazon, Netflix, Youtube, and Intel will be international which is why they are building warehouses, data centers, and factories all over the world. The most dominant store Brand in Asia is Texas based 7-eleven. The US economy is quickly expanding globally at a very fast pace.

  11. Talking coins with HLBB, HLBB谈钱币收藏

    theory does not work in US anymore, I travel through Seattle to Bay area, all deserted cities, no tourism, empty mall, empty office buildings, however the statistics tells us great number every quarter, I think with gov works with Feds and Wall street closely US will not fail no matter how,,

  12. Peter de Luca

    If you use the household labor survey instead of the Establishment survey, you will see a decline in employment month to month.

  13. Francois Rodrigue

    Peter and most pundits have been predicting a market crash since the start of the year, so far not happening, profit picture keeps improving, stock nearing all times high. Shows how easy it is to misinterpret the charts.

  14. Jason Fry

    New to the channel. Love the content.

  15. wisdaniel

    I can't believe people still follow you.

  16. Laura Reed

    We are already in a recession…..
    Why do they keep acting like we aren't?

  17. AltaAnastazYah

    Im so ready for this sh!t to crash!!
    Im tired of this America and those people that belive in it and do the will of the oppressors.

  18. Donna

    The world has come to an age of digitalization. "digitalization allowed companies to sell goods without a physical presence"
    So has digitalization made it easier for us to earn good profit from the comfort of our home with the help of digital currency.
    It’s been all beneficial earning 2 percent daily ROI profit of my invested capital.

  19. Tom Ricky

    So many factors come to play to sustain trade momentum. Betty Jo Steininger brings a unique positive incentive policies, market expansion and strong global demand. It is believed that these factors combined with other market/technical forces have triggered a significant reduction in the market's implied risk premium for all assets. I have watched lots of trading tutorials but Betty's techniques has proven to be the best. If you want to win trades, Betty JO should be priority.

  20. Aziz Einas

    A perfect storm is brewing in the United States. Inflation, bank collapse, severe drought in the agricultural belt, recession, food shortages, diesel fuel and heating oil shortages, baby formula shortages, available automobile shortages and prices, the price of living place. It's all coming together and it could lead to a real disaster towards the end of this year (or sooner). With inflation currently at about 6%, my primary concern is how to maximize my savings/retirement fund of about $300k which has been sitting duck since forever with zero to no gains.

  21. Herns TV

    Lol. If you look at the SPY index the market just started a bull run.

  22. BJ Dekreek

    I have been a bear on the markets and economy for 2 years! I have expended an enormous amount of time and lost captain thinking that markets are efficient and true price discovery is possible. It’s NOT!!! It’s a casino and should simply be bought without exception

  23. Master The Dream

    Thank you for all you do. You get a lot of deserved flack but your data is good. Data alone does not always indicate immediate moves. The Market has just refused to believe it so far. That should change soon.

  24. Charles Ragnick

    Unemployment is growing more and more daily, one has to be ready to make favorable decisions that will help his/her financial situation. This was how i met ^Aaron Marcus^ a financial expert that helped me and traded on my behalf. I started with an amount of $4k and i made a profit of $10k in a few hours. I can vouch for him and his work, anyone looking to navigate the financial market i highly recommend his assistance…

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