In the latest video update:
• Highlights from Russell Investments’ 2024 Global Market Outlook
• Could a recession strike the U.S. next year?
• Our chief investment strategist’s parting words for investors

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Date of first use Dec 2023…(read more)

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Is a U.S. recession still possible in 2024?

As the global economy continues to navigate through various challenges, there is growing concern about the possibility of a U.S. recession in 2024. While the economy has shown signs of resilience in recent years, analysts and experts are still contemplating whether the U.S. could be on the brink of another downturn.

The COVID-19 pandemic has undoubtedly had a significant impact on the U.S. economy, leading to widespread job losses, supply chain disruptions, and a decrease in consumer confidence. While the economy has shown signs of recovery, there are still lingering concerns about inflation, rising interest rates, and the potential for a global economic slowdown.

One of the key factors that could contribute to a U.S. recession in 2024 is the potential for a housing market crash. With home prices reaching record highs and mortgage rates on the rise, there is a very real possibility that the housing market could experience a significant downturn, resulting in a ripple effect across the broader economy.

Additionally, the potential for a trade war or geopolitical tensions could also have a significant impact on the U.S. economy. With ongoing disputes with China and other key trading partners, there is a risk that tariffs and other trade barriers could lead to a reduction in global trade and negatively impact U.S. businesses and consumer confidence.

Furthermore, there is also concern about the potential impact of climate change on the U.S. economy. As extreme weather events become more common, there is a risk that natural disasters could lead to widespread damage and disruption, resulting in significant economic costs and potential downturns.

While there are certainly risks on the horizon, it is important to note that the U.S. economy has shown remarkable resilience in the face of previous challenges. The Federal Reserve and other policymakers have demonstrated a willingness to take decisive action to support the economy when needed, and there are still many factors that could bolster the economy in the coming years.

It’s also worth noting that technological advancements and innovation could also play a significant role in driving economic growth and stability. As the U.S. continues to invest in areas such as renewable energy, infrastructure, and advanced manufacturing, there is a strong potential for new industries and job opportunities to emerge, supporting the broader economy.

Ultimately, while the possibility of a U.S. recession in 2024 cannot be ruled out entirely, it is important to approach these concerns with a balanced perspective. There are certainly risks and challenges on the horizon, but there are also many factors that could contribute to economic growth and stability in the coming years. As always, it will be important for policymakers, businesses, and consumers to carefully monitor economic developments and take appropriate actions to support the U.S. economy.