If the price of oil rises to $150 or $200 in 2024, it could lead to double-digit inflation in other parts of the world. This could trigger a new inflation cycle starting in the second half of 2023 and lasting until 2025 or 2026, which could lead to even higher inflation peaks than the current mini cycle. Bond yields will rise accordingly.
Watch more of this short video from Felix Zulauf: Bust/Boom Cycle Ahead As “Decade Of The Rollercoasters” Kicks Off.
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There’s no doubt that it’s a very challenging time right now for the average investor. Above and beyond the recent economic impacts of COVID, the new era of record low interest rates, runaway US debt and US deficits, and trillions of dollars in monetary and fiscal stimulus stimulus has changed the rules of investing by dangerously distorting the Dow index, the S&P 500, and nearly all other asset prices. Can prices keep rising, or is there a painful reckoning ahead?
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IMPORTANT NOTE: The information and opinions offered in this video by Wealthion or its interview guests are for educational purposes ONLY and should NOT be construed as personal financial advice. We strongly recommend that any potential decisions and actions you may take in your investment portfolio be conducted under the guidance and supervision of a quality professional financial advisor in good standing with the securities industry. When it comes to investing, past performance is no guarantee of future results. Any historical returns, expected returns, or probability projections may not reflect actual future performance. All investments involve risk and may result in partial or total loss….(read more)
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Felix Zulauf is a well-known Swiss financial expert who is renowned for his insightful market predictions. With over 40 years of experience in the financial industry, Zulauf has earned a reputation for accurately forecasting market trends and economic developments. One of the areas in which he has made particularly noteworthy predictions is inflation.
Inflation is a key concern for investors and policymakers alike, as it can have a significant impact on economic growth, interest rates, and the value of assets. Zulauf’s predictions on inflation have been closely followed by market participants due to his track record of accuracy.
In recent years, Zulauf has been vocal about his concerns regarding inflationary pressures building up in the global economy. He has cited various factors contributing to this trend, including expansionary monetary policies, fiscal stimulus, supply chain disruptions, and rising commodity prices. Zulauf has warned that these factors could combine to create a potent cocktail of inflationary forces that could drive up prices across the board.
Zulauf’s inflation predictions have been particularly prescient in the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic, which has caused unprecedented disruptions to global supply chains and led to widespread government stimulus measures. As central banks pumped trillions of dollars into the financial system to support economies reeling from the effects of the pandemic, Zulauf warned that these actions could fuel inflationary pressures in the years ahead.
Zulauf’s warnings about inflation have gained traction as central banks around the world have begun to acknowledge the potential for rising prices. In the United States, Federal Reserve officials have indicated that they expect inflation to pick up in the coming months as the economy recovers from the pandemic. Similarly, central banks in Europe and Asia have also raised concerns about the potential for inflation to surpass their targets.
As a result of these developments, investors have increasingly turned to Zulauf for guidance on how to navigate the impact of inflation on their portfolios. Zulauf has recommended that investors position themselves in assets that have historically acted as hedges against inflation, such as gold, real estate, and commodities. He has also advised caution in holding traditional fixed-income securities, such as bonds, which can suffer in an inflationary environment.
Overall, Felix Zulauf’s inflation predictions have proven to be remarkably accurate, and his insights into this crucial economic variable continue to be highly sought after by investors and market participants. As the global economy grapples with the aftermath of the COVID-19 pandemic, Zulauf’s warnings about inflation may prove to be more relevant than ever.
Of course the CPI number will be fiddled to try and fool the naive.
Dang, still spot on. Felix is a legend