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Hedge funds have literally never been this bearish on U.S. Treasuries, before.
Right now, the market is full of speculation on what the Federal Reserve is going to do. Number one, with interest rates this week. But number two, what they’re going to say about the forward path of interest rates for the nation.
As a result of this speculation over the course of this year, the first few weeks in January – we saw a rally in U.S. Treasuries as yields fell. This meant that two weeks ago, as of January 18th, hedge funds were having to cover their shorts at the fastest pace in four months.
Timecodes
0:00 Video Introduction
0:43 Quick Explanation of the Situation
2:52 Coving Their Shorts
4:19 Hedge Funds Boost Treasury Shorts
7:50 Timeframes to Look at
How to Make a Fortune this Bear Market ($99 Off)
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Hedge funds have been on a record-breaking spree when it comes to shorting US Treasuries. According to the latest data from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), hedge funds have increased their short positions in US Treasuries to the highest level since the data was first released in 2003.
The data shows that hedge funds have been aggressively shorting US Treasuries since the start of the year. The short positions in the 10-year Treasury note have more than tripled since the start of the year and are now at their highest level since the CFTC began tracking the data.
The rise in short positions is likely due to several factors. First, the US economy is showing signs of strength and inflation is expected to rise. This has led to expectations of higher interest rates, which could cause the price of US Treasuries to fall. Second, the US dollar has been weakening, making US Treasuries less attractive to foreign investors. Finally, the US government has been issuing more debt to finance its spending, which could lead to an increase in supply and a decrease in demand for US Treasuries.
The increase in short positions is a sign that hedge funds are betting on a decline in the price of US Treasuries. While this could be a profitable bet in the short term, it could also be a risky one. If the US economy continues to strengthen and inflation rises, the price of US Treasuries could rise instead of fall. This could lead to losses for those who are shorting US Treasuries.
Overall, the increase in short positions in US Treasuries is a sign that hedge funds are betting that the price of US Treasuries will decline. While this could be a profitable bet in the short term, it could also be a risky one if the US economy continues to strengthen and inflation rises.
Thanks again for the repeated explanation of short sales. I have finally internalised it, certainly regarding the Treasury market.
How do you find out the hedge fund short positions on treasuries?
Hedgies about to get smoked from bonds being bought up
Feeding the YouTube algorithm. Informative video. Thanks.
We have known this for ages.
FED goes by PPI too
You lost me at the FED looking at the CPI to make their decision.
They look at the CORE PCE, not the CPI.
So basically bullish possibly through the year, followed by bearish for possibly years?
Can you consider a video on how to monitor and measure the progress on Fed's QT?
So they think a FED Pivot is coming , just like Bury Thinks !
But didn’t the Fed say the focus is on wage inflation more so than CPI?
Billions… short squeeze
If most funds and people are short it is time to go long…
A short on Treasuries is a bet on intentional devaluation via inflation.
But inasmuch as the mechanism of this type of inflation benefits some much more than others via the Cantillion Effect, it means government contract holders and government debt primary dealers will benefit most.
No way CPI is cooling that fast
What kind of sick game are they playing? Shorting treasuries in order to get squeezed and have treasuries confirm a bull market? We need to fight now.
The BIRTH CERTIFICATE is a SECURITY it is also a Certificate of TITLE used correctly it’s a FORM of money start looking at the words Promissory Notes and Bills of EXCHANGE remember we are in a Matrix learn learn.
And yet again does the facial expression not match up with the gesture. Your old ones were better. Idk what drove you to this, but I wish you'd stop. It's bothering me endlessly.