Here’s Why the Risk of More Bank Failures Has Just Skyrocketed

by | Jul 17, 2023 | Bank Failures | 38 comments

Here’s Why the Risk of More Bank Failures Has Just Skyrocketed




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The banking sector, which is often regarded as the backbone of the economy, is currently facing a staggering increase in the risk of more bank failures. The global financial landscape has been rocked by various factors that have greatly exacerbated this situation. In this article, we will explore the reasons behind this alarming development and examine the potential consequences it holds for financial stability.

One of the primary factors contributing to the elevated risk of bank failures is the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic. The pandemic has caused widespread economic disruptions, including business closures, layoffs, and reduced consumer spending. These factors have put immense strain on the banking industry, as borrowers struggle to repay their loans and businesses grapple with liquidity issues. Consequently, banks have been forced to set aside significant provisions for potential loan defaults, severely impacting their profitability and stability. The prolonged duration of the pandemic and its uncertain trajectory only magnify these concerns.

Furthermore, the persistently low-interest-rate environment has added fuel to the fire. Central banks worldwide have adopted a loose monetary policy stance, slashing interest rates to stimulate economic growth and counter the impact of the pandemic. While this policy may provide short-term relief, it poses severe challenges for banks that heavily rely on net interest margins for profitability. Historically, a significant portion of a bank’s revenue is generated through lending at higher interest rates than they pay on deposits. However, with interest rates at record lows, banks find it increasingly challenging to generate profits, which weakens their financial position and elevates the risk of potential failures.

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Another contributing factor is the elevated level of non-performing loans. With economic uncertainties, job losses, and business closures, borrowers are struggling to meet their repayment obligations. This has led to a significant increase in non-performing loans, which are loans with a high likelihood of default. Non-performing loans disrupt the balance sheets of banks, eroding their capital reserves, and impairing their ability to absorb further shocks. The rising tide of non-performing loans is a clear red flag for the sector’s stability and raises concerns about the resilience of banks in the face of further economic downturns.

Moreover, the banking sector faces immense challenges in adapting to rapid technological advancements. The rise of fintech companies and digital banking solutions has disrupted traditional banking models. Traditional banks, burdened by legacy systems, struggle to keep up with the fast-paced digital transformation that customers demand. Failure to embrace digitalization and cater to evolving customer expectations weakens the competitive stance of banks and puts them at risk of being left behind by more agile and tech-savvy players.

The consequences of further bank failures can be dire. Apart from the direct impact on customers and employees, bank failures can trigger a domino effect, shaking investor confidence, and potentially leading to systemic risks that put the entire financial system at risk. The 2008 global financial crisis is a stark reminder of this. Therefore, it is crucial that regulators closely monitor the banking sector’s health, enforce robust risk management practices, and maintain adequate capital requirements to enhance the sector’s resilience.

In conclusion, the risk of more bank failures has skyrocketed due to a combination of factors such as the ongoing pandemic, low-interest-rate environment, rising non-performing loans, and the challenges of digitalization. These factors pose significant threats to the stability of the banking sector, which is essential for the overall health of the economy. To avert a potential crisis, it is imperative for banks and regulators to work hand in hand to address these challenges, strengthen risk management practices, and ensure the sector remains robust in the face of mounting uncertainties.

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38 Comments

  1. Juan Brito Ortega

    Super useful, and nearly inexpensive; only replace the seals and springs, and worked great. Initially, the valve was not coming out, I had to reopen the water to help to push the valve inside out because I had a lot of residue build-up, the shower was there for almost 17 years.

  2. Raven66 Raven66

    You need to interview Lyn Aldren

  3. Raven66 Raven66

    Some times banking makes no sense!

  4. john smith

    Bank failures can't happen if the FED doesn't want it to happen

  5. Art Krueger

    Deflation relative to what?
    Relative to before the pandemic, food is still up 50%+.

  6. Boris Buliak

    At this point, who cares? The engine is deff gone. Kicking the can down the road is the name of the game we live in.

  7. Ken Len

    Dude who owns like 10 houses crying about money everyday. We all know how sh!t it is but thanks for reminding us.

  8. Ryan Whitley

    The federal reserve, communist criminals charging taxpayers interest on fake money they conjured up out of the thin air since 1913.

  9. OutfitEventsChicago

    The problem with “group think” is the group is always wrong! Why? Because “group think” involves puppeting and parroting what other “experts” are saying without applying your own critical thoughts and analysis. When one group can give others “mandates” and the only “options” are to obey and comply, nonsensical, impractical, erroneous, and childish “standards” become the “new normal” and the worst ideas and mis-leaders emerge in the process.

    If anyone had applied any critical thought, they would have been able to do simple mathematics very quickly. When one group is called “essential” and everybody else is put under “lockdown”, this creates systematic advantages and destroys any sense of the free market or competition.

    This would inevitably lead to the destruction of small and midsize businesses that were not supported by the agenda, and ultimately cause businesses to not be able to afford their rents. What would happen next to commercial real estate when no one could pay their rents? Devastation and destruction of course, and any fundamentals of investing being replaced by “good guessers” and groups favored by the political and monetary agenda.

    Further, critical thinking, would have allowed anyone to realize that the true greatest killer in the world is poverty. As we are taxed, fined, and assessed more fees, how come the homelessness and poverty seems to be escalating and growing just as quickly? Is there anything more deadly than mass poverty? As the crime rates continue to soar, as businesses continue to close up their shops, and as cities all across the United States are being destroyed economically, can we stop a moment and reflect on how we got here?

    I filmed the first video of my life on the first day of lockdowns, to warn all of my fellow Americans, business owners, and commercial property owners that they were participating in their own demise and destruction and our world would never be the same!

    Here is my video live in the streets of San Francisco 3+ years ago warning everyone of exactly what I’ve said again here. Trying to warn others led to me being banned on all social media, including an eight month span here on LinkedIn. How was I banned when everything I have said, has been more accurate than all of the “experts“?

    I know it is more popular to grandstand, post some “virtue signaling”, and saying the safe thing that others want to hear, but that didn’t help anyone 3+ years ago and it’s not helping anyone today. thinking critically for oneself, taking personal responsibility, and standing up for the Truth is the only way to clear up the illusions and delusions of simply following along and “going along to get along”.

    As the financial devastation continues to pile in as a direct result of the insane and inhumane public in monetary policies that have taken place over the last three years, I wonder if the champions of “lockdowns”, mandates, stimulus checks, etc are going to pay the bill?

    https://youtu.be/uyXwpumFH7U

  10. Douglas Wilkinson

    You need to look at a ringers IV metaphor. Dr. Bracket ordered a ringers solution IV for trauma where blood vilume was being lost in order to get the patient to the ER. But it became obvious later that this thinned blood clotting function so adding more IV eventually actually increases the bleeding. And none of the above actually fixed the hole in the blood vessel. It might …might .. be a good band aid for the moment but doesnt fix the problem.

  11. Paula Sabrsula

    Thank you for telling us about the banks. Perhaps we can loan to ourselves. Hmmm…

  12. Bill Nope

    I disagree with your premise. I think the banks would LINE UP to use this new FED created facility. As far as I know, there is no present downside to using this facility. And there is a likelihood that the FED will continue this thing beyond the original time constraints into infinity. Any problems with new FED facility won’t come from the banks using it. It will come from some unforeseen distortion in the economy that comes from dead treasuries on the FED balance sheet.

  13. RP

    In the UK the banks and other financial firm have been required, by the Financial Conduct Authority, to include in their annual accounts one line item to summarise their efficiency:
    Cost to Income ratio = Running costs : Revenue
    The FCA's aim is that this ratio should be below 0.5, i.e. 50%. Some banks' ratio has been over 80%.
    This ratio shows how well the firm is being run and how much of the money in the financial system is being squandered, and us, the customers, are having to work harder and harder to push against the drag on the economy that the these banks and other financial firms are causing. Badly run banks can be equated a car (the economy) being driven with the handbrake on.
    The only purpose of banks is to develop new ways of assessing the risk of lending on new ventures and adapt to new economies accordingly. If they get is wrong then the value of the money they have lent becomes extinguished.
    This financial system is like an energy transfer system, where money is another form of energy that can be brought forward from the anticipated future efforts of customers to be traded now.
    The financial system can be thought of a thermodynamic system, which is subject to the 2nd Law of Thermodynamics: entropy (disorder) always increases because a system is never 100% efficient. Energy transfer systems are never 100% efficient and are like a leaky bucket. As evermore costs and taxes are inserted into the economy by governments and their regulations intermediating themselves into the process of doing business then the economy needs evermore central bank reserves to lubricate or fuel its operation.

  14. Gretchen K.

    98-99% loss of dollar purchase power since 1913.

  15. Thomas Kauser

    Has anyone even mentioned that the special banks are getting interest payments of 5% n your deposits?
    The federal reserve put in another half a trillion dollars to save 3 banks?
    I look at the construction and think next year I am going to have to compete with this group of job seekers in 2024?

  16. Thomas Kauser

    The goal is to convince the public that inflation was vanquished about the time the SPR runs dry?
    You don't need A.I. to figure out the obvious?

  17. Cocorna 32

    "Dis economy be scrate & Biden be doing a chill job"
    – Tre Tre McKray, Senior Biden Official of Truth Contortion

  18. Slim

    Georgia is always dancing around the elephant in the room….the fiat dollar is on its last leg.

  19. Jason Arthur Taylor

    The loss SBC had on a bond was only about 10%. The 50% stuff is fiction to help people rationalize and accept it.

  20. Jim Carlson

    DNC only want to win elections and run up deficits

    It is insane that these DNC voters at the EPA are allowed to ban vehicles and trucks using fuel derived from the ground. This is nothing but a power grab to destroy hard working conservatives jobs working in construction, trucking, mining, farming and conservative jobs producing these fuels. Why is it only the DNC that wants to end good paying jobs that mostly employ conservatives? They want to impoverish conservatives and their hope in doing so, is to then win more elections. The DNC politicians are the bane of America and are hell bent to destroy conservatives by destroying industries that employ conservative Americans but in the end will ultimately destroy working families and America.

    The byproduct of the DNC ending all fuels derived from the ground are more and more homeless, starting more so in their Blue Cities in their Blue States but eventually by using the EPA FEDS destroying industries employing conservatives in Red States and all of America.

    The End is near and it’s not the silly nonsense that the weather is going to both drown us and incinerate the planet, the end will come when China passes 1 trillion in our trade surplus annually and they no longer want to own any of our debt. Last year the FED stated the trade deficit with China was around 700 billion but the CCP stated it was closer to 820 billion. The US economy is crashing due green wackos in the EPA and WW3 looms all due to Biden spending 100’s of billions attacking the Russian people. America is going down the Alice in Wonderland rabbit hole.

  21. Michael McDonald

    The mummy is leakin oil, thank God for DEPENDS.

  22. Michael McDonald

    The big banks are insolvent, the fed will provide from u-crane to cleveland.

  23. Bradley Schaeffer

    Thanks for the update and keep doing what you do. My journey in the current market has taught me a lot of lessons, thinking about investing diversification certainly is the key, that's why I engaged in sectors based on projected growth. There are no shortcuts to getting rich but there are smart ways to go about it. professional Gregory Thomas Patchak has been my advisor and trader for a while now he has been doing a great job reviewing all charts and trade which has enhanced the growth of my portfolio to a six figures lately.

  24. Y T

    FINANCIAL REPRESSION, ECONMIC DEPRESSION.

  25. et cot

    It will probably go slowly downward, medias won’t bat an eyelid until next election cycle. Whatever its dem. or rep. the whole thing will completely fall next cycle. 00, 08, 20–>24?

  26. M Egret

    Is it deflationary when banks sell foreclosed real estate at a loss?

  27. M Egret

    One of my favourite movies, “Other People’s Money.” DiVito’s character, as hated as he was, was correct

  28. Jorge Rosas

    great analogy!

  29. Free Speech

    Talk to Peter Schiff about how the deflation during the Great Depression was one of the few things that helped people during that time by making things affordable… until the government started plowing crops under and destroying perfectly good food and such to raise prices.

    We did a similar thing with cash-for-clunkers… destroying perfectly good vehicles to reduce supply and jack up prices.

    We're doing it today by wrecking food plants, slaughterhouses, derailing trains, blowing up tankers directly under bridges on primary roads, setting forests ablaze, etc.

  30. Gaeden Ames

    I thought only 3 banks failed this year????

  31. Johnny Midnight

    My professional Consulting business had come to a crawl. The phone has stopped ringing. The recession is here, at least it is for my business. The US is facing a nightmare scenario, and the public is staggering around like Comer Pyle on valium. Buckle UP!

  32. Rof

    Deflation cannot be allowed so expect more debasement. This is the fiat system

  33. Aaron Roberts

    How about getting rid of Fractional Reserve Banking?

  34. Dan Gaines

    Well said George! Thanks for the great financial and economic information!

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