Is the Recession Set to Begin in Just 3 Weeks?

by | Oct 13, 2023 | Recession News | 14 comments

Is the Recession Set to Begin in Just 3 Weeks?




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Title: Recession Starts in 3 Weeks: Brace Yourself for the Economic Storm!

Introduction

As we enter the third quarter of 2021, concerning news has been circulating about an impending recession that is expected to hit the global economy within the next three weeks. With the effects of the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic and other economic factors, experts warn that we should prepare ourselves for a turbulent period that could have far-reaching consequences. In this article, we aim to explore the potential reasons behind this imminent recession and discuss how it might impact various aspects of our lives.

Reasons behind the recession

1. COVID-19 pandemic aftermath:
The pandemic has wreaked havoc on economies worldwide. Lockdown measures and supply chain disruptions have severely impacted sectors such as travel, hospitality, and retail. While countries have made efforts to recover through vaccination campaigns and easing restrictions, economies are still struggling to regain pre-pandemic stability. The gradual reopening of international borders and territories is uncertain, causing fear within the business community and consumers alike.

2. Inflationary pressures:
Another contributing factor is the increasing inflation rate in various countries. As economies recover from the pandemic, pent-up demand and global supply chain disruptions have led to rising prices. Central banks might respond by tightening monetary policies, leading to decreased consumer spending and dampened economic activity.

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3. High unemployment rates:
Despite some recovery, the job market has not completely bounced back. The ripple effects of layoffs and furloughs during the pandemic continue to impact households. High unemployment rates put a strain on consumer spending, creating a vicious circle where businesses struggle due to reduced revenue, leading to further layoffs.

Impact on various aspects of life

1. Personal finances:
Individuals may face difficulties due to reduced income, job losses, or increased prices of essential goods and services. This recession could significantly impact people’s savings, retirement plans, and overall financial stability.

2. Housing market:
The real estate sector has been experiencing a boom in many parts of the world. However, an economic downturn may affect this trend as people become cautious about investing in property. It could result in a drop in house prices, and individuals may find it harder to obtain mortgage loans.

3. Stock markets and investments:
Recessions often result in plummeting stock markets as investors feel uncertain and become risk-averse. Those heavily invested in equities may experience financial losses. Investments in sectors more resilient to economic downturns, such as healthcare and essential goods, may be more favorable during a recession.

4. International trade:
Global supply chain disruptions can further intensify during a recession. Countries relying heavily on exports may suffer from decreased demand, while imports might become more expensive due to inflationary pressures. International trade volumes could decline, impacting GDP growth rates.

Conclusion

While there are signs of economic recovery in many parts of the world, the impending recession serves as a reminder of the persistent challenges we face. As individuals and governments, it is crucial to be prepared, analyze our financial situations, and take necessary measures to mitigate potential risks. Diversifying investments, focusing on areas with relatively stable market demand, and upskilling ourselves to stay relevant in the job market are some steps we can take to safeguard our finances during these uncertain times. By staying informed and adapting proactively, we can navigate the stormy seas of recession more effectively and emerge stronger on the other side.

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14 Comments

  1. James Dirette

    Curious? What was the record median home price according to FRED? And what is it now? Seems like a conundrum

  2. Dan Kohan

    Thanks for sharing this talk, and I'm curious to see what happens with the economy.

  3. C W

    Keep your eyes on Bitcoin, not just cash FWIW.

  4. All Nighter Heider

    Recession in the next 12 months? Yes, I think these rate increases will restrain a bunch of rolling over debt by then. But this is just a guess without studying those numbers.
    Thanks dudes

  5. All Nighter Heider

    GDI tracks incomes, GDP+ tracks both GDP and GDI if I'm correct
    Thanks dudes

  6. Dumm Money

    Depends where u live. Bold call

  7. Brent Evans

    Yes i think its coming. I Work for a large rebar company in southern CA that specializes in high rise buildings and tilt ups . Over 40 large jobs out of 100 in LA are on hold due to rates 15 plus San Diego jobs on hold. This is from jobs that were bid 6 months ago but now that its time to start brakes are coming on strong. I think the fed went to far by the time they see what is happening its going to be to late everthing will have come to a stop.

  8. Ryan Vertucci

    Seeing the higher end rental properties not getting as much interest at the high rents in the DC area. People are running out of money.

  9. Self Note

    Once the yield curve uninvert then recession will be here

  10. Bill richeter

    Disagree about stock valuations. Companies have been making a ton of money yet market is down quite a lot last 2 years. P/ e ratios are not high at all. Market has been down due to higher interest rates paid from t bills and cds. Why risk capital in market if something unexpected happens. Anyway, market isn’t overpriced. Forward P/E ratio is 19.8. Down over ten percent from last year.

  11. Josh Manfred

    I think we're in one, just like the conversation in the video. Not everything has to be down at once for us to be able to look back in 5 years and say it was definitely a recession. Retail saw their numbers take a hit if you factor in the inflated prices and excess inventories last year, now you're seeing housing take a hit, autos are starting to see sales slow, and manufacturing has been all over the place since the start of the pandemic.

  12. Brads Pitt

    Layoffs are coming. Lending standards are tight, debt levels are very high, and rates remain high. Student loan repayments start next month, im guessing consumer spending will take a hit.

  13. Randy Paul

    There is so much fear in the media this week. More than normal. Why?

  14. Stephen Barsh

    No recession to many jobs still

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