Jeremy Grantham is a renowned investor, co-founder and chief investment strategist of Grantham, Mayo, & van Otterloo (GMO). He is also known for his accurate prediction of market bubbles and his concern for environmental issues.
In a recent interview, Grantham warned that the economic impact of the COVID-19 pandemic is likely to be much worse than a typical recession. He believes that what is coming is a “minor depression” rather than a mere recession. According to Grantham, the current situation will lead to a significant and prolonged economic downturn, with the potential for long-term damage to both the economy and society.
Grantham’s concerns about the severity of the current crisis come from his assessment of the underlying causes of the economic turmoil. He points to a combination of factors, including excessive speculation, debt accumulation, and environmental challenges, as drivers of the impending economic crisis.
Grantham suggests that the rapid rise in speculative market behavior has created an unsustainable bubble. He believes that the Federal Reserve’s aggressive monetary policies have artificially inflated asset prices and created a dangerous imbalance in the financial system. Grantham is concerned that the bursting of this bubble could lead to a severe market correction, with far-reaching implications for the broader economy.
In addition to financial concerns, Grantham also highlights the impact of environmental issues on the economy. He has long been an advocate for sustainable investing and has warned about the risks posed by climate change and resource scarcity. Grantham argues that these environmental challenges will exacerbate economic instability and contribute to the severity of the impending crisis.
Grantham’s warnings about the economic outlook are sobering, but he also offers some guidance on how to navigate the challenging times ahead. He advises investors to be cautious and to focus on preserving capital rather than chasing risky opportunities. Grantham also emphasizes the importance of diversification and the need to consider the long-term implications of environmental issues on investment decisions.
In conclusion, Jeremy Grantham’s assessment of the current economic situation is a stark reminder of the potential challenges that lie ahead. His concerns about the severity of the crisis and the long-term implications for the economy and society should serve as a wake-up call for investors, policymakers, and individuals alike. As we navigate through these uncertain times, it is crucial to heed Grantham’s warnings and to consider the broader implications of the economic and environmental challenges we face.
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I've come to realize that the key to amassing wealth lies in making sound investments. I purchased my first home at the age of 21 for $87,000 and sold it for $197,000. My second home, acquired for $170,000, was later sold for $320,000, and my third property, purchased at $300,000, fetched $589,000, with buyers covering all closing costs and expenses. Not reaching a million before retirement feels like an unfulfilled goal.
US FED: Economic Inflation: Lessons learned:
The US Fed has a goal, I repeat 'goal', of 2% annual inflation. And this is on top of all the 2%'s that came before it, which turns out to be an exponential amount of inflation over time.
Most people do not have wages and benefits that keep up with the true cost of inflation, which causes many social and economic problems in this nation and in this world. Zero income is sill zero income and zero pay raises are still zero pay raises. This is also a NATIONAL SECURITY item as many nations in the world stop utilizing America's currency as a reserve currency due to in part America's currency being weaker in this world. America has less influence in this world, which allows other nations in this world to take the lead.
As a nation becomes greater, it's currency should be able to buy more, not less.
Higher inflation:
* Obviously higher prices.
* Also at times lower quantity.
* Also at times lower quality.
(And if not lower quantity and/or lower quality, then that much more higher prices).
Many rich people and large corporations have taken America's wealth and hid it in out of country bank accounts and/or invested that wealth in other nations for various reasons. This has the net effect of basically stealing America's wealth from America.
Now also, rich people and certain businesses operate on huge debt, and even the US Government operates on huge debt. These entities love higher inflation because it helps to wipe out their debt, as they pay back their debt with currency that is worth less (worthless). Additionally, things like saving's account's get next to nothing for 'normal' people trying to save money for future expenses. Those that are operating on debt get rewarded and those trying to be more financially responsible are getting punished.
America's currency system is broken and needs to be fixed.
In part, a law needs to be passed that the US Fed has to have a 'goal' of 0% (zero percent) inflation. Sure, this is going to piss off those who game the financial system, but it would help with curing some of societies' issues as well as strengthening US currency thereby strengthening America's position in this world as more nations would want to utilize the US Dollar as a reserve currency. Inflation is still going to occur due to various reasons, but we don't have to automatically have a goal of increasing inflation.
Another idea might be to give the US Fed just 1 single job: Control Inflation, (and take away their other job of trying to have full employment). Let the markets control full employment.
And for any entity that thinks economic inflation is a 'good' thing, then you must also be okay with many of life's social and economic issues as well as a nation becoming weaker in this world as it's currency eventually loses value in this world. You must be okay with poor people suffering and dying due to higher economic inflation. In part, at least some of this world's suffering and death is on you. You caused this with your higher economic inflation goals. (A man made problem and can have a man made fix with 1 simple change. Change the US Fed's economic inflation goal from 2% to 0% which would help ease suffering and death in this world.)
And if you still say that 2% inflation would be fine, then surely you would not have a problem with making a Federal law that says that all businesses all across America are mandated to increase their employee's salaries by at least 2% every year, (the 2% just keeping up with inflation, any above 2% due to the increased value of that employee).
Otherwise, it's a system set up by the rich to transfer wealth from the middle class and poor to the rich. And if the middle class and poor do not stand up for their own interests against the rich, who will?
ECONOMIC INFLATION:
The way I see it is that regardless of the currency utilized (gold, silver, fiat, crypto, etc), economic inflation is still economic inflation. ANY economic inflation over previous economic inflation, overtime, eventually becomes exponential economic inflation. If an entities' wages, benefits and investments do not keep up with the true cost of inflation, then the entity falls behind in buying power and becomes poorer. A nation will eventually fail as will a global economy will eventually fail with ever increasing economic inflation because most people do not have wages, benefits and investments that keep up with the true cost of inflation. Math is still math.
Additionally:
Space travel, the ONLY thing that will save any species on and from this Earth to continue to exist beyond this Earth (all species who are 'left behind' on this Earth will eventually die and go extinct), has gotten more expensive just in my lifetime. What is space travel going to cost in the next 100, 1000, 1 million years from now? Economic inflation just might be a contributing factor to all life on and from this Earth dying and going extinct. And we did it to ourselves, or more correctly the US Fed did it to us, including themselves. And they are supposed to be the 'smart' ones. There is more to life than money alone. First one has to have conscious existence for that money to have meaning and purpose to.
Not in Australia it doesn't, high interest rates and property is still rising. Australian housing has been in a bubble for 30 years.
It’s all a House Of Cards, a Ponzi scheme on the verge of collapse!
The current crisis will be triggered by the low interest rate long term bonds/mbs.
Interest rates are still subzero. That is lower than inflation.