Jerome Powell stated that we are in very early states of disinflation. “I heard nothing today from the Chairman unless people want to believe that the terminal rate is set in stone. The bond market today is not really telling us anything. I would not be buying into this market without any protection at all. There are a lot of shorts on the sideline and investors need to monitor the VIX or the Fear Index,” says Scott Bauer.
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Recent comments from Jerome Powell, the Chair of the Federal Reserve, have caused some confusion among investors. Is he hawkish, dovish, or birdish?
Powell’s comments have been interpreted in a variety of ways. On one hand, he has said that the Fed will be patient and flexible in setting monetary policy. This has been seen as a dovish stance, as it suggests that the Fed is not in a rush to raise interest rates.
On the other hand, Powell has also said that the economy is in a good place and that the Fed is prepared to act if necessary. This could be seen as a hawkish stance, as it suggests that the Fed is ready to take action if needed.
Finally, Powell has also said that the Fed will be monitoring economic data closely and that it is prepared to make adjustments to its policy if needed. This could be seen as a birdish stance, as it suggests that the Fed is willing to act if it sees any signs of trouble.
Overall, it appears that Powell’s comments have been somewhat vague. This could be intentional, as the Fed does not want to give too much away about its plans for the future. However, it does seem that Powell is trying to signal that the Fed is ready to act if needed, while also being willing to be patient and flexible.
In conclusion, it is difficult to definitively say whether Powell’s comments are hawkish, dovish, or birdish. What is clear is that the Fed is prepared to act if needed, while also being willing to be patient and flexible.
In monetary policy of the United States, the term Fedspeak (also known as Greenspeak) is what Alan Blinder called "a turgid dialect of English" used by Federal Reserve Board chairmen in making wordy, vague, and ambiguous statements.[1][2] The strategy, which was used most prominently by Alan Greenspan, was used to prevent financial markets from overreacting to the chairman's remarks.[3][4] The coinage is an intentional parallel to Newspeak.[5]
Fedspeak when used by Alan Greenspan is often called Greenspeak. An alternative definition of Greenspeak is "the coded and careful language employed by U.S. Federal Reserve Board Chairman Alan Greenspan."[6]
Edwin le Heron and Emmanuel Carre state that "Nowadays, 'Fedspeak' (Bernanke, 2004) means clear and extensive communication of the Fed's action."[7] Chairman Ben Bernanke and Chairwoman Yellen have effected a major change in Fed communication policy departing from the obfuscation that characterized the previous three decades. In 2014 a new detailed level of Fed communication was dubbed Fedspeak 3.0.[8] In 2018, Chairman Jerome Powell would begin press conferences with a summary statement in plain English, in contrast to his predecessors who would read lengthy prepared statements loaded with monetary policy jargon.[9]
In 2021, Powell used a recursive syntax in saying that "you can think of this meeting that we had as the ‘talking about talking about’ meeting."[10] He added, "I now suggest that we retire that term."
STOP ALL WARFARE NOW!!! REDIRECT ALL WAR FUNDING TO THE EARTHQUAKE RELIEF EFFORT.