It has been almost a full year since we saw inflation peak at 9.1%. Thankfully, it has been cooling down ever since. Investors received numbers recently that show just how far inflation has fallen… and prove that the worst of it is behind us. So on today’s episode of Making Money With Matt McCall, Matt discusses the latest inflation reports. He also explains what they tell us about the Federal Reserve’s upcoming meeting, the market, and your money.
The central bank will meet again in almost two weeks. And many folks are expecting it to raise rates. As we gear up for this Fed meeting, you’d think folks might be getting a little wary in the market. But that hasn’t been the case… Even with the possibility of higher rates looming, stocks hit a new 52-week high today. Tune in for all the details.
#inflation #federalreserve #stockmarket #investing
00:00 Latest Inflation Updates
3:41 CPI Breakdown
10:03 White House Reaction to Inflation Easing
11:06 PPI Breakdown
12:04 CPI vs. PPI
12:54 PPI Breakdown (Continued)
15:17 What to Expect from the Fed?
17:47 How Have the Markets Reacted?
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Inflation has become a hot topic in recent months, with the COVID-19 pandemic wreaking havoc on global economies and leading to unprecedented government stimulus measures. As a result, investors and economists eagerly awaited the latest release of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) to gain insights into the state of inflation.
Released by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, the May CPI report provided a snapshot of price movements across various sectors of the economy. Here are the biggest takeaways from the latest CPI report:
1. Inflation Jumped: The report indicated a significant jump in inflation, with the CPI rising by 5% compared to the same period last year. This is the fastest year-over-year increase since 2008, when the global financial crisis had a profound impact on the economy.
2. Core Inflation Surge: Core inflation, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, also saw a sharp increase. It rose by 3.8% compared to last year – the highest increase since 1992. This indicates that price rises are not solely due to temporary factors, such as pandemic-related supply chain disruptions or energy price fluctuations.
3. Factors Driving Inflation: Several factors are contributing to the current inflationary pressures. Increased demand as economies reopen coupled with supply chain bottlenecks have led to higher prices for goods and services. Rising labor costs and higher raw material prices, notably lumber and copper, have also played a role.
4. Used Car Prices Soar: One eye-catching aspect of the report was the surge in used car prices. They rose by a staggering 7.3%, representing the largest monthly increase ever recorded. The global semiconductor shortage has disrupted automobile production, leading to limited supply and driving up prices of used vehicles.
5. Shelter Costs Continue to Rise: Housing costs, a major component of the CPI, continued their upward trajectory. The shelter index, including rent and homeownership costs, increased by 0.3%, adding to the mounting concerns about affordable housing. This trend poses a challenge for both renters and potential homebuyers, particularly in a post-pandemic housing market characterized by limited inventory.
6. Impact on Consumer Purchasing Power: As prices rise across various sectors, consumers find themselves with reduced purchasing power. With inflation outpacing nominal wage growth, the real income of individuals and families may be shrinking. This could lead to changes in consumer spending patterns and impact overall economic recovery.
7. Central Bank Response: The Federal Reserve has maintained that the current inflationary pressures are transitory and are a result of temporary disruptions caused by the pandemic. However, concerns are growing that prolonged inflation could force the central bank to reassess its accommodative monetary policies, including potential interest rate hikes.
8. Investors’ Response: The CPI report had an immediate impact on financial markets. Stocks, which have been sensitive to inflation fears, experienced increased volatility. Bond yields also rose, as investors factored in the higher inflation expectations and potential central bank action.
In conclusion, the latest CPI report revealed a significant jump in inflation, raising concerns about its impact on the economy. The surge in prices for used cars and housing costs, in particular, has drawn attention. While the debate about the transitory nature of inflation persists, policymakers and market participants will closely monitor economic indicators to gauge the long-term effects of inflation on consumers and the overall health of the economy.
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Used car inflation rates are down due to Tesla dropping the price of new cars impacting used EV car prices to drop 30%.
Do you anticipate a change in energy prices when the US decides to 300 million barrels of crude taken from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve (about half the reserve)?
Does the rental rates reflect the people now living on the streets with low rent that had been paying rent previously? (lowers demand?)
The inflation “rate” may be falling, but the damage is done. The result is that everything costs considerably more, and people’s wages have not kept up. Therefore they can afford less and spend less. The economy will have a resulting recession. And long term, people will have less savings and retirement funds.
These are fantastic takes, I was really hopeful of my investments this year, but all my plans have been disoriented, I've been studying the stock market and I realized some investors made a fortune from the recent 2008 recession and I was wondering if such success rate could be achieved in this present market. I'm open to ideas about investing for retirement.
I think if you look at the various signals Matt and from a number of reputable srategists who are not permabears and are just being realiatic, it would seem after this euphoria a recession is coming. It's not being "negative". The market has a tendency to whip out complacency and euphoria.
Since 2009 the stock market has done very well due to Fed money printing. Debt to GDP has risen from 60% to 120%. Is that sustainable though? If you had invested in stocks in 1929 it would have taken 25 years to get your money back. If you had invested in tech in 2000, you would have got your money back after 16 years. Can investors continue to rely on the Fed to keep on printing money to make stocks go higher?
Why do you say shelter is 70% of CPI?
"Also known as rental equivalent, this item accounts for 23~24% of the CPI and is calculated by splitting the non-recurring cost of buying a home real estate into rental payments."
How do I follow mat mcall to make money?
Shelter & Food will…NEVER come down!!!!…………………..WHERES DANNY!!!?????
Those who can't – – Teach
Those who can't Teach – – Run for office
And those media faces you see are only there because they were not tall enough to be models (their first career choice).
The people like you are a joke! You don’t look at tech or fundamentals. We have all time bubble in everything
inflation is theft along with income tax
we will have deflation in non essential things
and inflationg in essential things. eggs are still 9$ a flat
Dude screw your numbers, they are way off.they lie about everything but your gonna believe them now? Gtfoh!