Why are precious metals falling? Momentum analyst Michael Oliver points to the recent collapse in the bond market. He explains why the sell-off in metals is likely to be short lived. However, he expects downward pressure in the stock market which will force the Fed to pivot. A Fed reversal would likely be very bullish for gold and silver.

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INTERVIEW TIMELINE:
0:00 Intro
2:00 Gold pullback
16:53 Stock market
23:00 Silver update
26:30 Oliver MSA
27:25 Last thoughts
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The economic landscape is always riddled with uncertainties, and it seems like the Federal Reserve (Fed) has its hands full trying to navigate through them. With policymakers taking drastic measures to keep the economy afloat in the face of a global pandemic, the stakes have never been higher. However, according to financial expert Michael Oliver, there is an imminent threat that the Fed must not allow to happen.

Oliver, known for his insightful analysis and contrarian investing strategies, believes that the Fed cannot afford to let inflation spiral out of control. In his recent commentary, he argues that the current monetary policies being implemented by the central bank may inadvertently open the floodgates to rapid inflation and substantial economic repercussions.

According to Oliver, the massive liquidity injections and low-interest rates have created the perfect breeding ground for inflation. While these measures were initially intended to stimulate the economy and encourage lending, they have resulted in excessive money printing and an expansion of the monetary base. As a result, he warns of potential inflationary pressures, which could erode the value of savings, disrupt purchasing power and hinder the long-term stability of the financial system.

The rise in inflation rates is not merely an alarming future prospect. Recent data reveals a steep upward trajectory, with the Consumer Price Index (CPI) surging by 5.4% in June 2021, marking the highest increase since 2008. Similarly, other indicators such as the Producer Price Index (PPI) have also shown significant inflationary pressures. These numbers, coupled with the ongoing government spending, suggest that the risk of inflation becoming a sustained problem is very real.

Oliver argues that the Fed must take immediate action to address the burgeoning inflation. If left unchecked, inflation can morph into a self-sustaining cycle, wherein rising prices lead to increased wages, which in turn further raises prices. Central banks historically respond to rising inflation by tightening monetary policy, raising interest rates, and reducing money supply. However, given the current economic fragility and the mountain of debt, these traditional remedies may not be feasible.

The key, according to Oliver, is for the Fed to introduce a credible plan to unwind its balance sheet and reverse the easy monetary policies implemented during the pandemic. By gradually reducing the excessive liquidity injected into the markets, the Fed can help prevent inflation from running rampant.

While some argue that inflation is a natural consequence of economic growth and recovery, Oliver maintains that allowing hyperinflation to take hold would be catastrophic for both the domestic and global economies. It would undermine the value of investments, weaken the dollar’s reserve status, and cause a loss of confidence in the financial system. Ultimately, this could plunge the world into an economic downturn far worse than any experienced in recent memory.

In conclusion, Michael Oliver’s warning about the potential dangers of unchecked inflation should not be taken lightly by policymakers and investors alike. The Fed must carefully balance its actions to avoid stifling economic growth while simultaneously controlling inflationary pressures. By doing so, they can ensure a more stable and prosperous economic future for all. The challenges may be steep, but with timely, decisive, and well-calibrated policies, we can prevent the nightmare scenario that Oliver warns against.