Peter Zeihan | Europe’s History Reemerges | Part 2

by | Nov 3, 2023 | Bank Failures | 5 comments

Peter Zeihan | Europe’s History Reemerges | Part 2




The rare flare-up of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict was the most hotly anticipated event in the Middle East.

With the dissolution of the Mao cult, China may have been rising in Asia, but considering China a genuine military force was borderline absurd. Nobody gave the idea of upsetting the apple cart any thought in such a calm environment.
For the most part, the 1990s were pleasant. Strong security given by Americans. There are no significant global conflicts. Global trade had a significant impact on both nations that had tried their best to avoid the Cold War and the former Soviet Union. Although the expense of American market access and surveillance continually increased, everything looked manageable in an atmosphere of peace and prosperity. Unification of Germany. Unification of Europe. @ZeihanonGeopolitics @globepop #israel #europe…(read more)


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Part 2: Zeihan’s Predictions for Europe’s Future

In his thought-provoking book, “The Accidental Superpower,” geopolitical strategist Peter Zeihan predicted a series of events that would eventually lead to a return of history to Europe. In part one of this article, we discussed the factors that led to his hypothesis, including the decline of American power and the rise of China. Now, let’s delve deeper into Zeihan’s predictions for Europe’s uncertain future.

One of Zeihan’s main arguments lies in Europe’s geography. He points out that Europe is surrounded by historically aggressive powers, making it vulnerable to external forces. With the United States pivoting away from its role in European security and China taking a more assertive stance globally, Zeihan envisions a power vacuum that other nations will strive to fill.

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First and foremost, Zeihan predicts that without the protection of the United States, Europe will once again experience the return of traditional balance-of-power politics. This means that European nations will have to engage in a competition for resources, trade, and security to maintain their individual interests. Consequently, this scenario could lead to increased tensions and potentially even conflicts among European powers.

Furthermore, Zeihan believes that the European Union (EU) as we know it will no longer exist in its current form. He argues that the EU was a creation of America’s post-World War II security umbrella, and without that protection, the union will struggle to maintain its cohesion. As fears about China and Russia grow, he envisions a collective security scheme emerging among the northern European nations, centered around a reinvigorated NATO.

Additionally, Zeihan predicts that, without the United States as their major foreign investor, European countries will be forced to rely on their domestic markets to drive economic growth. This could lead to a fragmentation of the eurozone as countries pull back from the common currency to protect their own struggling economies.

Another critical aspect of Zeihan’s predictions is the potential destabilization of Eastern Europe. With the United States reducing its presence, Russia may become increasingly emboldened to reclaim its sphere of influence in the region. This could lead to further tensions between Russia and its neighboring countries, potentially sparking new conflicts.

Overall, Zeihan’s predictions paint a rather grim picture for Europe’s future. He warns of a return to a fragmented continent, rife with conflicts and economic uncertainties. However, it is important to note that these are speculative scenarios based on geopolitical trends and historical observations.

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While Zeihan’s predictions may seem pessimistic, they serve as a wake-up call for European nations to take stock of their vulnerabilities and work towards securing their own interests. As the global balance of power shifts, it is crucial for countries to seek alliances, foster strategic partnerships, and invest in their own defense capabilities. Only through proactive measures can Europe navigate these uncertain times and potentially avoid the worst-case scenarios outlined by Zeihan.

In conclusion, Peter Zeihan’s predictions for Europe’s future provide valuable insights into the potential challenges the continent may face in the coming decades. Whether his forecasts come true or not, they offer a timely reminder that history has a way of repeating itself and that European nations must be prepared to adapt and overcome these challenges in order to secure their own interests.

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5 Comments

  1. Andrew White

    It's ironic the Germans would not reform Freedom of Movement for the UK who's low paid sector was wiped out forcing UK citizens to claim welfare as EU low paid workers flooded the market.
    The UK has always had 48% Remain in the EU 48% Leave the EU with 4% who did not care. Fast forward to 2016 and the 4% now called the Left Behind who pushed Brexit over the line.
    Now the UK does not have Freedom of Movement with Unemployed levels down and Low Pay job salaries going up.
    Cannot believe the technical Germans could not and would not understand Supply & Demand.
    Also the Euro currency was created to save a exporting Germany from a strong Deutsche mark

  2. Simon Brady

    Unlike France! I think you are wrong about france, Peter. It agriculture sector is basically paid for through CAP, so when the eu fails or Germany can no longer pay this will cause France a big problem.
    It military looks good on paper but just lacks clout in the modern war space. It has just been humiliated in Mali.
    Financially it is the worlds third highest debt.
    It’s intelligence agency completely failed in the run up to Ukraine
    Oh yes, no other eu member state will trust france with the eu defence force.
    It may look good demographically but like Germany, it’s neighbours will keep it down.

  3. Simon Brady

    Since the end of the communism the secret agenda of france, Germany and the eu has been to bring Russia into some kind of special relationship with the eu. This would provide the eu with the two things it lacks, energy security and military clout.
    The blueprint for doing this was to be the coal and steal agreement that saw the birth of todays eu. Instead of coal and steel, read oil and gas. Create a physical network of pipelines that builds mutual reliance upon each other that therefore leads to slowly building further, firmer ties.

    In order to facilitate this move and reassure the Russians the eu states have to disconnect from NATO, Hense the move to an eu defence force minus the US, UK and Canada.

    Germany , France and the commission made a serious strategic mistake as putin is not playing their game. The whole plan now blown apart by Russian aggression. Initially france and Germany hoped it would be over quickly. Germany first response was 5000 helmets, macron just wanted to talk to putin. They have had to be dragged into abandoning their former plan and made to get on side.

    The eu, Germany and France have humiliated themselves now the eastern member states have sussed them out. The moral authority has shifted away from France and Germany.
    The eu, France and Germany have nowhere to go.

  4. Peter Tholen

    Peter, you always predict doom and destruction for all countries/continents except for the US.
    As far as I can tell the US has more than it's 'fair' share of problems and conflicts:

  5. MoreThanBasic

    Peter, I love what you do but this switching images in this video is most distressing. Just us a simple fade please…thanks. Enjoy your work immensely, keep it coming.

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