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Raoul Pal has become a legend in global economics as one of the most successful former hedge fund managers, and one of the most brilliant thought leaders that thoroughly understands how to navigate and explain the complexities of the global financial markets.
Get ready for another mind blowing conversation around America’s collapse and the potential financial crisis that’s going to make the next 20 years intense. We go deep on this conversation discussing:
The impact of the debt cycle and hyperinflation
Potential breakthroughs in the tech sector
The unstoppable nature of technology marked by AI models
If you’re trying to figure out how to navigate this all, its safe to say that preparing for future risks and safeguarding your loved ones is the absolute bare minimum to survive the uncertainty on the rise.
QUOTES:
“That was the death of the American dream that happened. The American dream was you participate in the US economy, you get richer, the reality is it didn’t happen.”
“By every indicator I’ve got, we’re in a recession already and it will become more abundantly clear.”
“There is an understanding that the world is too much in debt and there’s no way of dealing with this without us all going back into caveman times. So this is the answer.”
“The thing that’s actually driving the S&P 500 is the Fed balance sheet. It’s not companies.”
“Once you digitize things the cost goes to zero”
“In my lifetime there’s a 20 or 30 year period which might be a truly extraordinary moment, […] the issue is, we can’t see through the other side of it, and that’s terrifying.”
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America’s Collapse: Raoul Pal’s Warning For The Dollar, Housing Market & Upcoming Recession
Renowned macro investor Raoul Pal has recently sounded the alarm bells, warning that the United States is headed for an impending collapse. With concerns related to the dolla’s future, the housing market, and an upcoming recession, Pal’s predictions are causing waves in the financial world.
One of the primary concerns raised by Pal is the fate of the US dollar. As the world’s reserve currency, the dollar has enjoyed a privileged position for decades. However, Pal believes this status is in danger due to mounting levels of debt and fiscal irresponsibility.
The United States’ national debt has been consistently rising for years, and with recent economic stimulus packages in response to the COVID-19 pandemic, it has reached unprecedented levels. Pal argues that this excessive debt burden will eventually lead to a collapse of confidence in the dollar, driving its value down and eroding its global dominance.
Moreover, Pal draws attention to the Federal Reserve’s aggressive monetary policies, including near-zero interest rates and massive quantitative easing programs. These measures, according to Pal, are a time bomb waiting to explode. He argues that the Fed’s interventions have created an unsustainable environment, with the potential for hyperinflation and a significant devaluation of the dollar.
Another aspect discussed by Pal is the concerning state of the housing market. While the sector has experienced a strong rebound following the 2008 financial crisis, Pal believes its fundamental weaknesses are once again becoming evident. Rising home prices and an unsustainable level of debt are leading indicators of an imminent collapse.
Pal highlights the increasing number of individuals and families unable to afford homeownership, coupled with a growing reliance on rental properties. These factors, combined with an anticipated rise in interest rates, paint a gloomy picture for the housing market’s future. Pal predicts a significant correction in prices, potentially leading to a housing market crash of substantial proportions.
Lastly, Pal warns of an impending recession that could be even more severe than the 2008 crisis. He argues that the global economy is burdened by high debt levels, weak growth, and fragile consumer spending. Combined with the challenges brought about by the COVID-19 pandemic, this fragile state could easily tip over into a full-blown recession.
Pal’s grave warnings have sparked intense debates among economists and investors. While some dismiss his predictions as overly pessimistic, others acknowledge the inherent vulnerabilities in the US economy. Looking at historical precedents such as the collapse of the Roman Empire or the more recent financial crises, Pal implores individuals and policymakers to take proactive measures to prevent an avoidable collapse.
Ultimately, the future trajectory of the United States remains uncertain. Whether Raoul Pal’s warnings come to fruition or not, they serve as a reminder of the importance of fiscal responsibility, economic stability, and the need to address underlying systemic issues. The American collapse, if it were to happen, would undoubtedly have far-reaching consequences, not only for the United States but also for the global economy as a whole.
WARNING: I will never ask for your contact info in the comments section, that is someone impersonating me!
It sounds like 1 huge Ponzi Scheme
This has become the Hunger Games reality
It’s fascinating how much the macroeconomics since the seventies parallels the social economics of this same period. Just like those with assets are happy to go get cheap overseas labor, at the cost of their own countrymen, neighbors-their own people. This is how my narcissistic father and his siblings have dealt with their own floundering offspring. Yeah sure they haven’t treated us well but we are in a whole different socioeconomic class so we aren’t really people.
I love knowing that my future grandkids will still be paying for my boomer parents’ debt
29:11 Consolidation. The key word of the technocratic plan. Consolidation of resources, and attempted consolidation of market. Consolidation of currency and banks is key to reshaping the world. Transnational corporations have a plan. Not sure what it is, there are various theories on the grapevine, but no one really knows what the future holds exactly.
We can imagine, roughly, what will happen though.. Various "experts" hold seminars on world superpowers and talk about technocratic interests, and non experts chat on about the subject online. You wont see it on the mainstream media though, or the mainstream algorithm.
Transnationals are a pretty big subject on the world stage these days, and are gaining even more attention now with whistleblowers from the armed forces and people working with compartmentalized government contracts coming forward about the transnational connection to the UFO phenomena, let alone their activities in using offshore tax havens to conduct quiet business and screw nations over.
How about all of the world does a financial reset and forgive all debt? If all we are doing is shuffling interest payments, why not just reset before we go into actual war?
Productivity has been in decline because of the industrializing the United States. As soon as you get rid of factories, you reduce the unit productivity.
Why would central planners allow that to happen? I'm thinking corruption.
What's the solution? Tariffs and reindustrialization just like we forced on to Russia which is benefited enormously from our trade sanctions making them a world producer of products I don't think they ever thought they'd be producing before.
You forgot about Ross Perot? Come on
You're wrong! I use cash all the time, usually have a couple thousand in my wallet at all times.
Immigration growth.. Joe Bidens got it covered.
Kudos to Raoul Pal for powering through this contentious interview. For myself, I abandoned it after 51 minutes of frustration, watching Tom Bilyeu interrupt every few seconds to challenge Raoul and express his own views. Seems to be a pattern with Bilyeu and unfortunately I'm not a fan of this approach. I favor interviews that draw guests out and allow them free reign to express their ideas. Then I can form my own opinion as to their value.
Are there ant humans in the comments? So many bots.
If you add up all the money in the world and take it away from all the debt in the world it always comes to zero. So if Elon has a $1 Billion in cash somewhere there is a $1 Billion of debt somewhere.
When the economy is at 100% collapse, your home and bank accounts, cash money and gold etc will be worthless. Only things of highest value will be guns and ammo. Cuz it will be WROL. A governments printing money can only hold out so long. Look at the graph chart people, we are at the very bottom!
you're missing something.
You're only looking at this planet, we're about to spread out into the solar system.
Those autonomous machines will come in handy when we're mining the asteroid belt to build infrastructure in space and on mars.
Doesn't matter that there will be lots of robots as most of them won't be on earth.
Tangible assets
This guy lost of lot of credibility with me when he started talking about Crypto. It's all a scam.
Franchise & independant owners haven't had a wage rise since 80s ,
A weak dollar can signal an economic downturn, making me to ponder on what are the best possible ways to hedge against inflation, and I've overheard people say inflation is a money-eater thus worried about my savings around $200k
Building have built out the entire new framework for the global economic system behind the scenes and you m********** are still regurgitating the same old doom-and-gloom f**** they're there without even f**** seeing what's in front of your face
I cant watch this because dude in the hat interrupts to much ..
Tom I think you hit the nail on the head in which Metcalfe’s Law is compromised in part of speculation. Nothing wrong with that but I wish Raoul would just call it what it is.
It’s no secret that big gains are made with calculated speculation .
wow
The line between good and evil runs between every human heart.
And if we print money and it’s all good. Why do we have to pay taxes?
Fear mongering. Where’s your proof?
Until the Boomers shuffle off their collective mortal coil, the unfunded liabilities will bring about financial Armageddon. Financial Armageddon will in all likelihood occur first. Is a Roman Empire Debt Jubilee a possibility?
Quantities easing and tightening is bouncing the amount of money in the economy with what is needed at that time. Not doing so causes more stress in the economy. The amount of money added or removed at any period of time should account for things like normal economic growth/shrinkage, or events that cause waved in the need for money at any particular time.
Horrible interview. Love Raoul and what he was able to say, but you couldn’t just let him talk. Constant interruptions before he was able to make his points.
Hyper inflation has more than one cause: 1) You issue too much money 2) Private bank issues too much credit 3) The currency is attacked by large currency shorters 4) The currency is attacked by counterfeiters 5) There is large disruptions in supply or demand of products 6)
Government printing of money should be the only way to issue money and that according to the required needs. That fact that Hitler rebuilt Germany so fast is a testament to the power of Sovereignly issued money. Private banks and vulture shorters are the irresponsible players in the over supply of money. Bank issued credit and currency is the real counterfeiting.
I heard that the Bank of England ordered one of the big banks of Germany to over supply the mark and this is what caused the insane inflation.
The 1970's inflation was caused by two main things: The creation of OPEC and the take over of central banks by the BIS. When OPEC was formed, this new cartel then raised oil prices by 4 times. This created massive increase in inflation across all markets. The massive inflation was then intentionally misblamed on governments mismanagement of the money supply. The "Freemarket" solution was to let the big banks solve the problem by taking over money supply. This was a cardinal policy of the Bank of International Settlements as central banks came under it's control, largely without any consultation of the public. The very day the big banks got control of the money supply, they double interest rates. The kept on raising interest rates until the majority of available currency was bank credit. After they successfully privatized the money supply which created a massive cashflow for them in the form of interest, they then privatized the governments.
A very good book on the history of monetary problems is Web of Debt by Ellen Brown
this guy is like Dr Fauci of bitcoin
I want to hear about what Raoul demographics.
Yep sure you can crash but whats the point in guessing over 50 years !! Raoul makes valid points and eod nobody knows
The USA was a shining light due to Franklin Roosevelt's policies, the American governnment has been dismantling it since he left office and the outcome is failure. Financialization isnt the future but the failure of government to control private greed