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The 6.2% is including 6 months before rate hikes hit. Have a look at US Consumer Price Index MoM, the BIG move happened in July 2022 when we went from June with 1.32% to July with -0.2% that is when the FED rate hit proper. Now if we add up the last 6 moths so July to December 2022 we get a rate of 0.95% annualize that for a full year so x2 that number and you get less than 2% so that 6.2% is just meaningless a more realistic number is under 2%, BOOM now we are talking. So the FED now has it's target done and dusted we are at under 2% inflation so the FED should stop hiking rates right away and let things level off before lowering rates as inflation falls as soon as possible August 2023 should already have rates in the 3% area if not lower, we don't want to see a second inflation spike so they will have to keep rates above 2% but should be way lower than 5% and even lower than 4% to prevent cash ruining out. There is no need to have high rates if inflation is dead on the ground.
Would it not be possible to do zero this meeting and .5 in June?
So…basically, the Keynesians are killing the golden goose by not addressing the supply side of the equation. Demand destruction and negative growth to claw the money supply back in. I wish our govt knew how to stick to a budget, stop borrowing money, and stop throwing money out of helicopters as a panacea to economic woes.
Classic tie
Stop sounding like your devastated bro… you’re worrying us
The WEF is more like the top 0.0000000001%
They’re all-in on open-borders, transhumanism, encouraging lower birth-rates, etc
Thank you
If the republicans pass that rediculous 30% sales tax bill, sales across the nation are going to dramatically decline. Most things are not worth paying an additional 30% for.
That's because no one wants to work they want to suck off the government tit
With Germany situation is probably because they are having their warmest winter recorded. So the use of gas shot be much less as a result.
Everything that they said in Davos is a lie. Scholtz is also a big liar.
Looking at those Davos videos, it really makes my stomach churn.
All this bad news yet Bitcoin go Moon Moon Moon!
Germany is actually not facing elevated gas prices. Compared to one year ago prices are lower now.
Will crypto drop again?
(Rev. 6.1-5 White horse- US- Red-Russia
Blackinflation…..)Thanks
Those super rich only care for themselves. They see a bright disposition for themselves not for everyone else.
Of course the Fed and the WEF are optimistic since they’re the ones who will gain from the orchestrated global recession.
Your evaluation of the inflation and economy is the same as all us working class. I been through this two times before in my life time. Just by the inflation alone most working class are already having difficulty making ends meet. The interest rates going up are not as bad as inflation most of don’t want strapped to new vehicles loans or bigger home mortgage. Home sells in my area are still selling however mortgage money is going be harder to get and the down payment will more than likely go to 20% for a conventional 30 year mortgage. First time home buyers more than likely won’t have that much. I share your opinion about the state of economy.
The last year and a half has been a joke. I work 2 jobs and was able to go on vacation if I wanted 2. Now I still work 2 jobs can barely afford to invest now and it's supposed to be an easy landing. I am physically and emotionally worn out from working son hard and no reward for going on 2 years now….soft landing I'm sure I lm personally about to crash and burn soon.
I know how to input crypto into daily life devices
Man that would’ve my made my day if Brian Dropped that F Bomb! Lol
The BLS just changed its CPI reporting rules which will drive inflation data quickly lower, below 3.5% by Q3.
Dear Brian – thank you for the detail analysis
I thought fed was going to pivot in February?
30% doesn't sound great but ive ran the numbers, this bill would lift people out of poverty and encourage TONS of demand.
Thanks!
1 million people getting payed off won’t do nothing , check back and see how many more people voluntarily leave jobs