Reynolds believes that the markets are not accurately assessing the likelihood of a recession in 2021.

by | Apr 15, 2023 | Recession News | 9 comments

Reynolds believes that the markets are not accurately assessing the likelihood of a recession in 2021.




Glenmede’s Michael Reynolds weighs in on the markets and the possibility of a recession. For access to live and exclusive video from CNBC subscribe to CNBC PRO:

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The global economy has seen unparalleled growth in the past few years. But with the ongoing trade tensions between the United States and China and the possibility of a no-deal Brexit, the possibility of an economic recession is looming. Despite this, markets are currently mispricing the chances of a recession this year, according to a report by global financial services company, Reynolds.

The report notes that recession fears are on the rise, with weakening global growth and a tumultuous geopolitical climate playing a significant role. However, despite the growing concern, financial markets appear to be pricing in only a 30% chance of a recession in the next 12 months. This is a stark contrast to what economists and market analysts have been predicting for the past few months.

Reynolds’ report suggests that the market is simply not taking into account the various factors that could potentially lead to a recession. The ongoing trade tensions between the United States and China have already caused significant uncertainty in global markets, with both countries imposing tariffs on each other’s exports. In addition, the possibility of a no-deal Brexit could lead to further instability in global markets, which could have a significant impact on both the European and global economies.

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Furthermore, the report highlights the lack of stimulus for global economies at a time when the world is facing growing uncertainties. Central banks such as the US Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank have already started to cut interest rates, which provides some respite but not enough to entirely save markets from a recession.

The Reynolds report suggests that the current optimism within financial markets is unfounded, and investors need to be more cautious if they wish to avoid a recession in the future. The report advises investors to reconsider their asset allocations and learn to be more adaptive in this current global climate.

In conclusion, despite the current optimism in markets, Reynolds predicts that a recession is imminent, and investors need to be more wary. The report highlights that the market is mispricing the chances of a recession this year and investors need to be more considerate when making investment decisions. With the ongoing geopolitical turmoil, a recession seems almost inevitable.

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9 Comments

  1. Erik Kurilla

    Instead of trying to predict whether or not we’re going into more recession and keep losing your money, a better strategy is simply having a portfolio that’s well prepared for any eventually, that’s how some folks' been averaging 150K every quarter according to Bloomberg.

  2. Pete Peters

    I am curious as to whether individuals who underwent the 2008 financial crisis had a less arduous experience than I am currently enduring, given that prevailing market conditions are causing me considerable distress. Specifically, my portfolio has incurred a loss of over $27,000 this month alone, and my profits are dwindling. I am concerned that my retirement plans may be jeopardized, as I am unable to augment my stagnant reserves.

  3. jeremy gilley

    Another bank was crashing just yesterday today massive bull run

  4. Diamond Ray

    Investing in crypto now should be in every wise individuals list, in some months time you'll be ecstatic with the decision you made today..

  5. BILLY Brannon

    The manipulation of the markets is unbelievable , In spite of how everyone is frightened and calling the crash, there is already an excessive amount of demand waiting to absorb it, which is another reason it's less likely to happen that way. This forecast was not made in 2008, at least not by the general public, as I will explain below. The ownership rate peaked in 2004, according to the other comment. We reached a peak in the second quarter of 2020 and are currently at the median level. From 2008 to 2012, it fell by 3%, and in the second quarter of 2020, it dropped from 68 to 65

  6. Amadi Tempe

    I've been quite unsure about investing in this current market and at the same time I feel it's the best time to get started on the market. i was at a seminar and the host spoke about making over $972,000 within 3 Months with a capital of $200,000. i need to know how to go about it.

  7. Daniel Hutchinson

    After the US Fiat Dollar crashes into a BRICS Wall,
    It's weakness will be revealed?

  8. lppoqql

    I think everyone understands they will just print money to no end to prop up the economy. This will only destroy USD's credibility.

  9. Fredrick Anderson

    The wisest thing that should be on everyone mind currently should be to invest in different streams of income that doesn't depend on the govt. Especially with the current economic crisis around the world. This is still a good time to invest in Gold, silver and digital currencies(BTC, ETH..).

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