Rupee hits historic low, falls below 80 against dollar in Gravitas

by | Aug 12, 2024 | Invest During Inflation

Rupee hits historic low, falls below 80 against dollar in Gravitas


The Indian rupee, which has been on a downward spiral for the past few months, hit a historic low on Thursday as it breached the 80 mark against the US dollar for the first time. This development has sent shockwaves through the Indian economy and has raised concerns among investors and policymakers.

The sharp depreciation of the rupee can be attributed to a combination of domestic and global factors. On the domestic front, rising crude oil prices, widening current account deficit, and capital outflows have put immense pressure on the Indian currency. The recent sell-off in emerging market currencies triggered by the US Federal Reserve’s interest rate hikes has only added to the rupee’s woes.

The depreciation of the rupee has far-reaching implications for the Indian economy. A weaker currency means higher import costs, which could lead to inflationary pressures and hurt the purchasing power of consumers. It also makes Indian exports more competitive in the global market, but at the same time, it increases the cost of servicing foreign currency-denominated debt, which could strain the finances of Indian companies.

In response to the rupee’s steep fall, the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has taken steps to stabilize the currency. The central bank has increased interest rates and intervened in the foreign exchange market to stem the rupee’s decline. However, these measures may not be enough to prop up the currency in the face of global headwinds.

The government, on its part, has also announced several measures to contain the rupee’s fall. These include curbs on non-essential imports, liberalizing foreign direct investment rules, and easing external commercial borrowing norms. However, more concrete and sustainable reforms are needed to address the structural issues plaguing the Indian economy.

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The rupee’s historic plunge underscores the need for structural reforms to strengthen the Indian economy and make it more resilient to external shocks. This includes accelerating infrastructure development, improving the ease of doing business, boosting exports, and attracting foreign investment. Only by addressing these underlying issues can India build a strong foundation for sustainable economic growth and stability.

In the meantime, the government, RBI, and market participants will need to closely monitor the developments in the currency market and take appropriate actions to protect the rupee from further depreciation. While the current situation may be challenging, it also presents an opportunity for India to implement the necessary reforms and emerge stronger in the long run.


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