Sector Rotation & Stocks to Watch During a Recession or Recovery

by | Feb 24, 2023 | Invest During Inflation | 37 comments

Sector Rotation & Stocks to Watch During a Recession or Recovery




As the economy cycles from growth to recession, different market sectors have historically outperformed. If investors understand when a sector might be strengthening, it may help them search for potential investment candidates.

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Sector rotation is an investment strategy where investors move their money from one sector to another in order to take advantage of changing market conditions. During a recession, investors may rotate their money away from cyclical industries such as retail, hospitality, and travel and towards defensive sectors such as utilities, healthcare, and consumer staples. During a recovery, investors may rotate their money away from defensive sectors and towards cyclical industries.

When it comes to sector rotation, one of the most important things to consider is the current state of the economy. During a recession, investors should focus on defensive sectors that are typically less affected by economic downturns. These sectors include utilities, healthcare, and consumer staples. Utilities provide essential services such as electricity and water, and are often seen as a safe haven during a recession. Healthcare companies provide essential medical services and products, and are also seen as a safe haven during a recession. Consumer staples are items that people need regardless of the economic climate, such as food, household items, and personal care products.

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During a recovery, investors should focus on cyclical industries that are expected to benefit from the economic upturn. These sectors include retail, hospitality, and travel. Retail companies provide goods and services that people may have delayed purchasing during the recession, and are likely to benefit from increased consumer spending. Hospitality companies provide services such as hotels, restaurants, and entertainment, and are likely to benefit from increased travel and leisure activities. Travel companies provide transportation services, and are likely to benefit from increased business and leisure travel.

When it comes to stocks to watch during a recession or recovery, investors should focus on companies with strong fundamentals and a history of consistent growth. Companies with strong balance sheets and healthy cash flows are likely to be better positioned to weather economic downturns. Additionally, investors should look for companies with competitive advantages that will help them remain profitable during both good and bad economic times.

Finally, investors should pay close attention to sector rotation and stocks to watch during a recession or recovery. By carefully monitoring the market and adjusting their portfolios accordingly, investors can take advantage of changing economic conditions and maximize their returns.

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37 Comments

  1. Harrison Michael

    We are already in a big crash Inflation is a catastrophe. This CPI report is a colossal failure. To bring the housing market to a halt, the FED will have to pull all the stops. The unfortunate issue is that other markets are being decimated. If you want to stay green, you have to rely on a lot of diversification. Currently up 14% and being careful. Still a better deal than leaving it in a savings or checking account yielding 0-1 percent interest.

  2. Prashant Chavan

    There is a slight mistake in the graphics, the initial cycle overview shows industries, then power lines then food, and then oil. But later explanations and revised overview shows industries, then basic materials, then food, then power lines, etc. which seems correct. Rest it's a Nice and crisp presentation overall.

  3. Abhijit Mishra

    I had seen FIDELITY'S SECTOR ROTATION ANALYSIS, where POST-RECESSION, FINANCIALS and TRANSPORTATIONS is the one to go unlike this VIDEO. Similarly, CONSUMER CYCLICALS to be invested during LATE BEAR STAGE. M so totally CONFUSED. Can anyone HELP PLZ???????????

  4. Ishkadish

    So, before the recession is over buy a crap load of crypto.

  5. Lone Sharp

    whose here for the incoming 2022 recession

  6. Anonymous

    you lose like all the gain from moving in an out from bid and ask losses

  7. Steve A

    in 2022 none of the norms are followed by stocks. the portfolio perfroance depends on stock picking ……………………………..

  8. cthornt79

    the Fed screwed up the normal cycle.

  9. Paddddd1

    Great video. What do you think the sectors AD-TECH (e.g. Digital Turbine or The trade desk), consumer loans (e.g. Upstart or Lending Club), online fashion retail (e.g. LVMH) and EVs (Electrical Vehicals e.g. Tesla) will perform during a recession?

  10. Ritz Kola

    Is there a chart or website or channel, that breaks down WHAT time of year each sector is at its strongest?
    As well as a chart that shows historical data Year by year for each sector performance?

  11. Sylvin Antonius

    where will you invest in mining stocks?

  12. W C

    is rotation just selling and buying the next sector or is there another method to actually rotate such as trading or exchanging tech shares for consumer shares for example?

  13. Cuddle Baboon

    so now best sector to invest would be consumer staples and energy ?

  14. Admiral Beluga

    Defense Industry (Weapon Manufacturer): Pathetic

  15. Marven Abello Piera

    The pandemic and the gradual recovery provided a real-world example of this. Accurate.

  16. Hillo David

    Thanks for the video! Helps a lot!

  17. Blank Check Media

    TD ameritrade the best channel. Simple concise straight to the point!

  18. Sudan

    This was EXTREMELY HELPFUL! Thank you!

  19. Kaushiki Pada Chakrabarti

    Respected Mam, Many thanks for your research. As a small Indian investor, I would like to know the best sectors to invest in India right now. Please make a video on it at your earliest convenience.

  20. muffemod

    CYCL = Sector Cycle Dynamic Rotation ETF

  21. Ravi Khatri

    Wow. That was really helpful.

  22. R M

    Outstanding video! I’ll remember this forever

  23. D W

    So why is the tech down?

  24. Daniel Good

    What about tza

  25. Harry

    Thanks

  26. Freedom77

    Is Walmart and target etc consumer cyclical?

  27. Sam Cohen

    I wouldn’t try timing the market. I buy index funds, etfs, and good companies instead of trying to time the market.

  28. Clark Fluegel

    I'm triggered that she referred to the hypothetical trader as "her" and "she". I feel marginalized and like my feelings aren't validated by this video.

  29. Alan Lau

    This rotation cannot be used anymore since this is not industry evolution anymore. The tech goes up extremely high for every sector

  30. ramen noodles

    Which sector are we in right now?

  31. Gibran Bedra

    Ok that's was insightful as hell. Using more instruments beyond stop loss or portfolio diversity such as short sales, options, bonds, and high volume day trading could really maximize profitability throughout sector rotation by being contriarian, in a sense.

  32. _A_

    cool

  33. psp785

    Tech stocks only go up

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