S&P 500 to Experience a 40% Decline as Recession Hits the Stock Market

by | Sep 30, 2023 | Recession News | 36 comments




It’s now being predicted by economist Gary Shilling that S&P 500 will crash by 40% when SHTF. And if you think thats crazy or it could never happen, think again. In fact just in the last 25 years it already happened 3 times! Get your popcorn, because right now this economy is gearing up to produce the mother of all crashes like we’ve never seen before.

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Stock Market Crash: Recession Will Sink S&P 500 by 40%

The global economy is standing on shaky ground as fears of a looming recession grow stronger each day. The Stock Market Crash of 2008 still lingers in the minds of many investors, leaving a lasting impact on their overall confidence. Now, experts are sounding the alarm, predicting a dire future for the stock market. In particular, they forecast a steep decline for the S&P 500 – a popular index that tracks the performance of 500 leading companies in the US.

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The S&P 500 has been on a bull run for the past decade, reaching record highs in recent years. However, numerous factors now suggest a major correction is imminent, potentially sending the index plunging by a staggering 40%.

One significant factor contributing to these alarming predictions is the ongoing trade war between the United States and China. These two economic giants have been embroiled in a fierce battle of tariffs and retaliatory measures, causing turmoil in financial markets worldwide. The S&P 500, with its heavy reliance on multinational companies, is particularly vulnerable to the negative impact of this trade dispute. If the conflict escalates further, it could send shockwaves through the US economy and pull the S&P 500 down with it.

Another key concern is the weakening global economy. Europe is struggling with slowing growth, including Germany, which is often considered the backbone of the European Union. Brexit continues to cast a shadow of uncertainty over the UK and European markets. China, the world’s second-largest economy, is experiencing a significant slowdown, and emerging markets are grappling with their own challenges. All these factors combined create a perfect storm that could trigger a recession and have a detrimental effect on the S&P 500.

Furthermore, mounting geopolitical tensions and uncertainties, such as the US-Iran conflict and political unrest in various parts of the world, are adding fuel to this already combustible mix. Should these tensions escalate, investor confidence will undoubtedly be further eroded, setting the stage for a substantial downturn in the stock market.

While it is difficult to pinpoint the exact timing of such an event, many market experts believe that the next recession is on the horizon. Historical data shows that economic expansions are not indefinite, and eventually, a correction becomes inevitable.

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So, what does this mean for investors? In such a volatile environment, it becomes even more crucial to carefully assess investment strategies and review portfolios. Diversification is key, spreading risk across different asset classes and geographical areas. Maintaining a clear long-term perspective is also essential, as knee-jerk reactions to short-term market fluctuations can often lead to poor decision-making.

For those considering entering the market, it may be wise to proceed with caution. Timing the market can be risky, especially during such uncertain times. Seeking professional advice and conducting thorough research before making investment decisions can help navigate this turbulent period.

In conclusion, the ominous specter of a stock market crash looms over the global economy. The S&P 500, in particular, appears highly vulnerable to a significant decline of up to 40%. While the exact timing of this downturn is uncertain, the combination of various economic factors and geopolitical tensions suggests a considerable correction is on the horizon. Investors must be prepared for potential market turbulence, carefully managing their portfolios and seeking professional advice to navigate through these challenging times.

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36 Comments

  1. Dorris Macklin

    The most significant lesson I gained from the stock market in 2023 is that uncertainty prevails, emphasizing the importance of humility. Adhering to a long-term strategy with a competitive edge is key.

  2. Andrew Lodge

    I hope the pervert Target stock goes to zero.

  3. MoneyMatt

    i don't know any mortgage company that doesn't use proposed property taxes. its the sales price x the tax rate %

  4. Cynthia2020 Word

    Wondering about how the stalls, delays, scary lack of Congressional consensus on the budget approval with no gaps/stops…having on market/s&p rating?

    My insider guy/Wall streeter tells ne Christmas buying might be an indicator for everyone kept racing to buy through this year ("no beed to go down on our pruces…oeople are still buying stuff" charging), and ge sats many are running out if credit are underwater-rather above the affirdable max for escrow allówance… AND THEUR CREDIT LIMITS won't make it into next year, topped out for new purchases.

    As a layperson I remember when John q publics began investing in stock market writ large…90s then to 2008-9, we began to learn big money stayed there, but average pulls out with risk. And generally:

    a great bull market does not necessarily reflect the squeeze on regular people (flying thru Obama years).

    When selling is not an option any more for prople to sell, take a lump sum, pay off bills and take 2,3,5 years at smaller more affordable place to live…made impossible because they cant get back in anywhere…

    Spending will stop for escrow choked homeowners–Insurance policy premiums and mortgage interest rates are EVERYTHING.

    I agree that the storm will ve consumers without anynore credit limit increases left soon.

  5. Mako Daniel

    Ill give what that house is worth, 92k

  6. Mako Daniel

    Gotta be a millionaire to live in a shack in california, I can buy an actual mansion in north houston for 700k

  7. NYCHairguru

    People didn’t have credit cards in the Great Depression… that’s the Big diff today and our government thrives off our debt they need banks to lend to make money.

  8. NYCHairguru

    WEALTHION did a piece and some commenter said how the USAs Ukrainian financial support is to ultimately dump our debt on them… I didn’t understand this but I’m sure someone here does!!

  9. NYCHairguru

    Michael there a tons of troll commenters on ur channel. Talking about how they made money and contacted some name person same chit chat as always … anyway you can block them? I’d hate to see ur followers get rolled over .

  10. lucIano boccedi

    Several of the biggest market experts have been voicing their opinions on exactly how awful they think the next downturn would be, and how far equities may have to go, as recession draws closer and inflation continues.. well above the Fed's 2% objective. I'm trying to build a portfolio of at least $850k by the time I'm 60. I need suggestions on what investments to make..

  11. Hiram

    In my city, home prices are already 18 percent down from last year.

  12. Phydariel Jones

    Wow! The Dow down 400 points today???

  13. ZeleninaT

    we are in a recession i believe is priced in sure well go low n go back up

  14. KilnGod

    Michael you should stop by Santa Fe on the way home. 40% sounds a bit steep, in fact a quick crash sounds unreal. This seems a lot more like 2003 or a slow rolling recession. A quick crash requires far fewer jobs than workers, given an extra 10 million Boomers retired during the pandemic we're not in for a quick crash, I figure 20%-30% in slow motion as were still short a few million workers.

  15. Marvisha Norris

    Personally, i'm not so worried about any coming collapse or crash. Since i found out that every crash or collapse offers an equal market opportunity if you are well prepared and knowledgeable. I've seen people accumulate over $1,000,000 during crises and even pull it off with ease in a bad economy. Without a doubt, the bubble or crash has made someone extremely wealthy.

  16. Cliffor Reid

    Thanks dude! for keepin us financially Educated! Regardless of how bad it gets on the economy, I still make over $22,000 every 5 days.

  17. M R

    Orange ,grapefruit,banana, lemon, date, coconut, grapes, avacado, nuts, olive, grown in yard???

  18. gotmituns

    i doubt there will be massive panic sale in real estate. people locked their mortgages at low rates.

  19. Stanley Hudson

    I began my investment journey at the age of 38, primarily through hard work and dedication. Now at the age of 40, I am thrilled to share that my passive income exceeded $100k in a single month for the first time. This success reinforces the importance of the advice mentioned earlier. It is not about achieving quick wealth, but rather ensuring long-term financial prosperity.

  20. STEVE C

    I'm in NYC and am seeing lots of "$250K is the new middle class" even in the suburbs where everyone makes like $80K. There are literally not enough high earners to keep prices of anything up. But alot of people online lie about salaries or think that because they make $200K, everyone else does.

  21. STEVE C

    Are all houses in CA nice and well maintained? I live in NY and it seems like loads of houses here need a lot of upgrading. Every CA video has way-overpriced BUT nice houses. Or are y'all just cherry picking neater areas?

  22. Thinking Outside The Box

    Nobody knows what will happen. If you could predict the market consistently, you’d be richer than Buffet.

  23. barnabus doyle

    It’s funny how many people still think that raising interest rates was ever going to succeed in fighting inflation

  24. DMR

    I am surprised when I read comments from people in the USA who are not able to invest 500 dollars a month considering that in their country the minimum wage is very high! In my country I earn $800, I am paying 400 for a piece of land and on top of that I have 3000 dollars in the stock market. That teaches me something, most people the more they earn, the more they spend, that's why they always complain, I don't understand English much but it's true that I try to learn from videos like this because they are very advanced in terms of information regarding the speaks Spanish… Greetings, thanks for the video

  25. Andrew F

    If we’re already in a recession, then it doesn’t happen after the reversion of the yield curves…
    Anyway, who cares?

  26. Starfire Reborn

    Young Adults With Multiple Jobs Keep Unemployment Low. They Also May Have Kept The Economy Lukewarm. Spending Money On Stupid Things While Their Parents Pay The Mortgage, But There Just Aren't Enough Of Them. Let It Burn Down, Like It Should've.

  27. darin, the secular spiritualist

    historically houses hardly appreciated in fact depreciated alot. this 30% appreciation is stupid and natural law will knock it down 50 to 60%; mother nature sez so

  28. Dee P

    Hello from Volusia county Florida

  29. Ryan Bianchi

    2/3 ≠ 59% btw

  30. brett run

    As a general rule of thumb I don’t take investment advice from any man that wears a teal tank top and reflective sunglasses.

  31. f1rst_pancake yup that's me

    21:56
    Some people are giver-types: they enjoy thinking about and finding the perfect present for their family and friends. Christmas is a tough time for these types when they haven't the money for it. I know firsthand because a few of my siblings are sweethearted giver-types. They end up putting themselves in a few months of strain just to make others have a great holiday. They have big hearts! 🙂

  32. Robert Mccarthy

    I’m positioned for stock market collapse with s&p put options

  33. Shanti Shanti

    Some people here are forgetting history. Specifically the history of the shutdown, and the massive PPP loans (525 billion) that were given out to mostly large businesses, including home investment firms.

  34. Jay P

    Is it worth investing now if yiu have the capital?

  35. RADIUM CLOCK

    When the market crashed in 1929, by Feb 1930 it was recovering. What made it sink was Hoover signing the Smoot-Hawley Tariff on June 17, 1930. The lesson? There's always a recovery and when it tanks start buying into the S&P 500 or similar funds. The Bush era was a great time to buy stocks and I regret not getting in at that time and when the next crash happens I've got cash to get in.

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