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ProShares Global Investment Strategist Simeon Hyman joins Yahoo Finance Live anchors Jared Blikre and Julie Hyman to discuss upcoming earnings, the rise in interest rates, the pullback in equity markets, and the outlook for investors.
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The bond market has long been considered a barometer of economic health. However, recent fluctuations in the bond market have raised concerns about an impending recession. Despite these concerns, one strategist argues that the bond market is not indicating a recession.

The bond market is a vast and complex world, with many different types of bonds trading at different interest rates. The yield on these bonds is closely watched by investors and analysts as a signal of economic conditions. Typically, when yields on 10-year Treasury bonds dip below those of 2-year bonds, it signals a recession is on the horizon.

This yield curve inversion took place last year, sparking fears of an economic downturn. However, the strategist notes that the bond market has since corrected itself, with yields returning to a more normal level. In fact, some experts have even argued that the recent yield curve inversion was not as significant as previous ones, due to changes in the market.

Furthermore, the strategist argues that other indicators of economic health, such as the strength of the labor market and consumer confidence, do not suggest a recession is imminent. The US economy continues to add jobs at a steady pace, and consumer spending remains robust. In addition, the recent trade deal between the US and China has helped to ease concerns about global growth.

Of course, no one can predict the future of the economy with certainty. The bond market is just one indicator among many that analysts and investors use to gauge economic conditions. However, the strategist’s assessment offers some reassurance to those worried about a potential recession.

It is always important to keep a watchful eye on the bond market and other economic indicators. However, it is equally important to consider these signs in context and to not overreact to temporary fluctuations. Only time will tell whether or not the bond market is truly indicating a recession, but for now, there is reason to remain optimistic about the global economy.