The Looming Arrival of the Recession

by | Oct 3, 2023 | Recession News | 30 comments




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A recession is on the horizon, and the signs are unmistakable. Numerous reports indicate an impending economic slowdown. While some may think we’ve escaped unscathed due to the stock market’s impressive performance, the circumstances this time around are unique. We’re facing stagflation—an unsettling combination of stagnant economic growth and persistently high inflation. The Cleveland Fed even forecasts an uptick in inflation. In today’s video, we thoroughly analyze macro and technical charts of the S&P 500 and QQQ to explore the potential severity of the situation. Join us as we delve into these charts and assess the potential implications.

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Title: The Recession is Coming – Preparing for Economic Downturn

Introduction:
In recent years, global economies have experienced unprecedented growth, accompanied by record-breaking stock market highs and an optimistic business outlook. However, beneath the veneer of success, there are growing concerns among economists and experts that a worldwide recession might be lurking on the horizon. While it is impossible to predict with certainty when or how severe the next recession will be, it is prudent for individuals, businesses, and governments to be prepared. In this article, we will explore the signs pointing towards an impending recession and discuss steps to weather this economic storm.

Signs of a Looming Recession:
1. Slowdown in GDP Growth: One of the primary indicators of a looming recession is a decline in Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth rates. A significant drop in economic output over two consecutive quarters is commonly defined as a recession.
2. Inverted Yield Curve: When the yield on long-term bonds falls below that of shorter-term bonds, it creates an inverted yield curve. Historically, this has been an accurate predictor of economic downturns.
3. Rising Unemployment: A spike in unemployment rates indicates weakening consumer demand, which can lead to a contraction in the economy.
4. Declining Consumer Confidence: When people start to lose faith in the economy’s future, consumer spending decreases, triggering a slowdown in economic activity.

Preparing for the Recession:
1. Emergency Fund: Building an emergency fund can provide a financial safety net during challenging times. Aim to save enough to cover essential expenses for three to six months.
2. Reduce Debt: High levels of debt can be a burden during a recession. Minimize outstanding debts and focus on paying off high-interest loans to enhance financial stability.
3. Diversify Investments: Explore diversifying your portfolio across various asset classes, such as stocks, bonds, and real estate. This strategy helps mitigate potential losses during a downturn.
4. Develop Marketable Skills: Upskilling or acquiring in-demand skills can enhance employability in a competitive job market. This ensures greater stability during economic downturns.
5. Cut Unnecessary Expenses: Review your budget and identify areas where you can reduce unnecessary spending. This practice not only builds savings but also instills financial discipline.
6. Evaluate Income Streams: Diversify your income streams by exploring side gigs or part-time work. Additional income sources can provide added security in the event of a recession.

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Government Intervention:
During a recession, governments often employ economic stimuli to support economic recovery. These measures can include tax breaks, increased infrastructure spending, or monetary policies. Staying informed about government initiatives and taking advantage of available support systems can provide individuals and businesses with some relief during difficult times.

Conclusion:
While recessions are an inevitable part of the economic cycle, preparing for their arrival can significantly mitigate their impact. By recognizing the signs of a potential recession and taking appropriate measures, individuals, businesses, and governments can better navigate these challenging times. Building financial resilience, diversifying investments, and maintaining a proactive approach are essential factors to ensure stability during an economic downturn.

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30 Comments

  1. charlotte pauline

    Every crash/collapse brings with it an equivalent market chance if you are very well informed and equipped. I've seen folks amass up to $800K amid crisis, and even pull it off easily in an unfavourable economy. Unequivocally, the bubble/collapse is getting somebody somewhere rich.

  2. Patricia Carlos

    This recession is most likely the result of an external factor. For the first time in decades, the United States is losing its clout as a federal reserve currency. They don't have any more economies to use to control inflation, and less money is being spent on stock and oil trading than in the past. They all lend support to the idea that a new multilateral world order is in the works.

  3. re detach

    If china real estate suffers, north american real estate may too. Watch FL,J and other china real estate names

  4. Jonathan Burtnick

    Admittedly, I am new to tradlng, but the S&P is in a bull, inflation is going down steadily, interest rates aren't being raised at the moment., i heard about people earning and making more profits, I cannot let my $680k savings vanish after putting in so much effort to accumulate them

  5. Ginger Bread

    Yes recession is coming since October 2022…You got it right….

  6. Dorian Jacobs

    In light of the impending recession and the fact that inflation is still far higher than the Fed's 2% target, several of the most prominent market analysts have been expressing their views on how terrible they believe the next downturn will be and how far stocks may have to fall. I need advice on what investments to make because l'm attempting to create a portfolio for my children that will at least be $800k in value.

  7. Bailey mclean

    With inflation running at a four-decade high, a Recession is now the ‘most likely outcome for the economy. How can I grow my portfolio to outpace inflation and maintain a successful long-term strategy? I have been reading of investors making about $250k profit in this current crashing market, and I need ideas on how to achieve similar profits.

  8. irena trulove

    Your content is one of the few I still consume. I've followed trades of a couple YouTubers and I'm down so much…210k to 80k. It got addictive. My resolve is they all shills.

  9. Hafizu Halliru

    16:51I HAVE INCURRED SO MUCH LOSSES TRADING ON MY OWN…I TRADE WELL ON DEMO BUT I THINK THE REAL MARKET IS MANIPULATED… CAN ANYONE HELP ME OUT OR AT LEAST TELL ME WHAT I'M DOING WRONG ?

  10. Alex Grant

    Since the current financial crisis and the rise in prices have had a detrimental influence on my finances, I must admit that I'm pretty concerned. It's starting to worry me a lot, especially at my age.

  11. Dannyak

    After today I just have to decide if I want to go all in on treasuries and get five percent or more in treasuries as opposed to possibly losing money on equities. A dartboard might be useful.

  12. Reddy

    These YouTubers are dreaming about a crisis/recession/market-crash since an year now – not happening, we have already seen the bottom.

  13. Jesper Anders

    Recession fears mount on Wall Street and inflation remains well above the Fed's 2% target, some of the top commentators in markets, business, and economics have been sounding off on just how bad they think the next downturn might be — and how far stocks may have to fall. I need ideas and advice on what investments to make to set myself up for retirement.

  14. Charlotte Smith

    .Wall Street pitched so-called quality stocks with high profitability and low debt, as a kind of insurance against whatever the economy might throw at you. Quality stocks have underperformed the S&P500 this year, My $400k portfolio is down by approximately 20 %, any recommendations to scale up my ROI before retirement will be highly appreciated.

  15. Ferdi Memelli

    Private sector jobs increased by 497,000 in June, according to data from payroll processing firm ADP. That’s more than double the 220,000 Dow Jones consensus estimate and also far better than the downwardly revised 267,000 gain seen in May.

  16. Jane Viella

    Recession fears mount on Wall Street and inflation remains well above the Fed's 2% target, some of the top commentators in markets, business, and economics have been sounding off on just how bad they think the next downturn might be — and how far stocks may have to fall. I need ideas and advice on what investments to make to set myself up for retirement, my goal is to have a portfolio of at least $850k at the age of 60.

  17. Gg Jj

    Guys, why arent you talking about Wixpool?

  18. Coco puff70

    I'm just going to keep it a 1000 WE ARE ALREADY IN A RECESSION THESE F#^KER ARE GOING TO LEAD US INTO A DEPRESSION/HYPERINFLATION THEN THERE GOING TO CALL IT A RECESSION AND AROUND THAT TIME INTRODUCES US TO THERE MARK OF THE BEAST 666 CBDC. BEEN SAYING THIS FOR A YEAR GET YOUR PHYSICAL GOLD AND SILVER.

  19. BlueZaton

    This time is different.

  20. Willy Loman

    I will forever be indebted to you, you've changed my whole life and I will continue to preach about your name for the world to hear you've saved me from a huge financial debt with just a little investment, thanks so much Charles Stewart!!

  21. Bill Mc

    This is all premature front running concentrated in a handful of stocks. Basic calculus by front runners is this; inflation is dropping and will continue to drop, employment remains strong, earnings have not tanked, rate hikes have not caused a recession, and if there is a recession, it will be mild. Let's see what inflation does going forward. If Unemployment goes up, due to the lack of warm bodies, will probably remain below what typically happens in a recession. But the consumer will be tapped out. The massive amount of liquidity injected during COVID has forestalled the day of reckoning. China reopening has been a flop and is weakening. Will the infrastructure bill be enough to keep us going? And let's see what this earnings season brings. If we are weakening into the second half of the year, the all important holiday season spending will be a flop and down we go. AI will not save us in the short run. Those valuations are magical. And wait for the zombie companies to have to start to refi at higher rates.

  22. A.B.

    Recession = high unemployment?

  23. Funktastico

    Big techs / Mega caps would have to drop near 50% for indexes to make new low, given markets don't bottom before recession. Either that or other mid/small caps go to zero whilst megacaps continue to thrive/ holding up.

  24. Based Nation

    how can I find the ust 10-2 yr chart on trading view?

  25. xy e

    yes recession came at begin of this year….

  26. Paul P

    Selling premium has really dried up these days. A jobs week would drive up prices so much last year. It's really hard to find good options to sell.

  27. Cyruschadrezzar

    infamous 23 curve ball programmed in

  28. Keith LeBlanc

    Even if there’s a recession (highly unlikely), I can’t see anything stopping this market from booming to all time highs!

  29. Hollywood Cam

    1929 "The Great Depression"

    2007 "The Great Recession"

    ? "The Recession"

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