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The market is not fucking forward looking.
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I bought a lot calls, but I gotta pay taxes and Child Support, so you gotta be richer than me
Give it a day or two and it will probably drop right back down.
The market is, in fact, ~~forward~~ looking
So much money is lost by amateurs latching onto sound bites they pickup from Fed speeches expecting to derive some kind of edge when Jpow even says himself that they communicate everything through the Fed fund futures. Just look at the CME Fed Watch tool or learn to read the FF futures and turn off the TV because it’s all priced in.
Nothing is ever priced in otherwise the market would never move but god only knows what it’s pricing in right now
The surprise will come when the dot plots are released and they all act surprised seeing rates above 5% and held there throughout 2023 and 2024 before any possible cuts.
Put on news, calls on rumors
This shit is going nowhere but up, PCE will come on at or below and that opens though won’t happen the chance for a .25 rate increase. Cooler cpi will follow and the markets will likely moon. I was so bear, but it’s a lost cause here
It’s controlled by a single AI algorithm with dark pools and the entire system is predatory against retail.
The system :
A. knows what retail buys
B. Absorbs retails money then controls movement opposite.
Maybe there was a time when shit was priced in, but it sure seems like a free for all for the last couple years
It’s so forward looking, that it’s backwards.
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