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Mortgage interest rates in the US have been rising in 2024, also government bond rates and corporate bond rates, which is probably the opposite of what you thought was going to happen.
So what’s driving interest rates up in 2024, why are they rising when the Federal Reserve is promising interest rate cuts, and also a look at why some of the latest economic data is misleading you about what’s really going on.
TIMESTAMPS
Intro 0:00
The Puppeteer 2:19
Current Landscape 4:11
Rates Are Rising 5:38
Why? 7:43
No Visibility 9:13
Compelling Arguments 10:55
Will Rates Keep Rising? 14:11
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Disclaimer:
The information in this video is general information only and should not be taken as constituting professional advice from Hamish Hodder.
Hamish Hodder is not a financial adviser. You should consider seeking independent legal, financial, taxation or other advice to check how the information relates to your unique circumstances.
Hamish Hodder is not liable for any loss caused, whether due to negligence or otherwise arising from the use of, or reliance on, the information provided directly or indirectly, by use of this video….(read more)
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As we enter the year 2024, there is a significant shift happening in the financial markets. Interest rates are on the rise, causing ripples throughout the economy. This increase in interest rates has far-reaching implications for consumers, businesses, and the overall health of the economy.
The Federal Reserve has been signaling for some time now that it is planning to raise interest rates in order to combat rising inflation. Inflation has been creeping up steadily over the past few years, and the Fed is looking to put the brakes on this trend by making borrowing more expensive. This move is intended to slow down spending and investment, which in turn should help to cool off the economy and bring inflation back down to more manageable levels.
For consumers, the rising interest rates mean that borrowing money is going to become more expensive. This includes everything from mortgages and car loans to credit card debt. As interest rates go up, monthly payments on these debts will increase, putting pressure on household budgets. This could lead to lower consumer spending and a slowdown in economic growth.
For businesses, the higher interest rates mean that the cost of borrowing money for expansion or investment will go up. This could potentially lead to fewer new projects being undertaken, which could have a negative impact on job creation and economic growth. Businesses may also face higher costs for servicing existing debt, which could eat into their profits.
Overall, the rising interest rates in 2024 are a signal that the economy is entering a new phase. The era of ultra-low interest rates that we have become accustomed to over the past decade is coming to an end, and we are now entering a period of tighter monetary policy. This shift will require consumers and businesses alike to adjust their financial strategies and be prepared for a more challenging economic environment.
In conclusion, the rise in interest rates in 2024 is a significant development that will have wide-ranging effects on the economy. Consumers and businesses will need to be vigilant and prepared for the changes that are coming, as higher interest rates are likely to impact everything from borrowing costs to consumer spending and economic growth. By staying informed and adapting to the new reality of higher interest rates, we can all navigate this transition successfully and ensure a strong and stable economy for the future.
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If you artificially keep short rates low Hamish, the long rate explodes. If we get rate cuts this year, the 10YR yield is the one to watch.
I wouldn't think of the Feds notes on future inflation or future rate cuts as what they truly believe to be the future, but rather, its the information they want to put in the ears of the public to help guide the future in the way they want.
The Fed didnt /want/ inflation to go up very high, so they made a public announcement that they projected it to not go up very high. What would've happened if they released projections that it /would/ to up very high? It would've went up even higher. The Fed isnt in the business of predicting the future. They're in the business of creating the future. That includes using deception as a tactic.
Click bait title . @harmish Honesty and transparency develops trust , stop these shenanigans
Of all the money Managers and investors that have given their outlook on Interest rates in 2024, only Steve Eisman seems to be the most pragmatic, he says most people (investors) have come to optimistic about interest rates reductions in 2024…he says, that he cautiously see's only once will the FED board reduce interest rates, best case scenario…but otherwise, from the look of things and economic data, interest will hover around the same levels if not increase.
– GDP is growing
– Inflation is being managed and reducing
– The labour market is stable
So the question is, why adjust things and everything seems to be going on at a steady pace? unless they repeat the same thing volcker did in the 1970s, reducing interest rates too soon, and causing inflation to jump over the moon.
It still rings fresh in their minds, and no FED chair wants a repeat of the same.
stable prices = my grocery bills are up 200% employment = everything is coming from the government workers
Price stability??? What world are you living in.
love from america
If the us people want to becoming free from interests they should quit this notorious economic system. For usa per capital economic model will suit than no other model. In the per capital system a person should keep a capital of which he will earn. Thus this capital he will invest on his business. The profit will divide in all of the partners of the business.
Click bait
Really good as always. Your research, insight and analysis has gotten better and better. Thanks for all the hard work you put into making these videos.
I will be forever grateful to you, you changed my entire life and I will continue to preach on your behalf for the whole world to hear you saved me from huge financial debt with a small investment, thank you Anna Williams.
Being lied to is easier than lying to yourself
Your videos are really good.
Higher interest rates make the national debt more expensive so it is unlikely the Fed will raise rates. Lower interest rates will have a stimulative effect on the economy which put upward pressure on the rate of inflation, which means the Fed is unlikely to lower the Fed Funds Rate. So, in my humble opinion, the Fed will not change interest rates until they are forced to by the next crisis.
I fully expect the Fed to allow inflation (by whatever measure) to remain higher than 2%. The Fed will tolerate this moderately higher inflation because they won't raise the Federal Funds Rate. Until they raise the Fed Funds rate, all the talk about reducing inflation is simply that, just talk.
pay attention to what the Fed actually does, not what the chairman of the Fed says. The Fed has a limited toolbox, the podium is the tool the Fed uses most often.
Bro, don't mislead in your ads, your connection is encrypted without VPN most of the time, because almost every service today uses HTTPS.