📉What The S&P500 Looks Like Adjusted For Inflation📉
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Have you ever wondered what the S&P500 looks like what you adjust it for inflation? It tells a pretty scary story. In this video I am going to walk you through this amazing (and scary) website I discovered the other day. We can look at the S&P500, the Nasdaq and much more adjusted for inflation. You will see we have not even recovered from the dot com bubble and why Millenials can’t afford to live in today’s world!
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#inflation #S&P500 #coolstockmarketcharts…(read more)
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Title is definitely misleading, money supply is not inflation.
Money supply is not inflation. Misleading video
To me, it seems intuitive to think if the government printed 30% more money, that stocks should go up 30%. It feels like common sense.
If that's true, we were at Dow 30,000 before the money printing, so Dow 40,000 should get us back to just even.
That doesn't even take into account the printed money from other countries going into US stocks. It could be Dow 50,000 gets us back to real 2019 prices.
IMO using M3 as inflation is just wrong, and therefore so is the graph. CPI is not a perfect measure to measure inflation but it is far more accurate then the M3 or M2 or M1.
1$ in 2000 is 2$ in 2021, so inflation doubled it. Forget about the money supply. Whereas SP500 rose 3X.
crash is now dummy. its coming
I’m glad this is becoming a concern for more people. CPI is meaningless and the real costs of inflation are difficult to see. Growing wealth inequality, rising difficulties of the middle class, bigger bubbles and business cycles. It’s all originating out of the Fed inflation machine. (Look into Austrian business cycle theory by Ludwig von Mises, FA Hayek, and Murray Rothbard).
However, I’m not sure if comparing the stock market to the quantity of money is too meaningful, either. Real prices don’t have an exactly proportional relationship to the quantity of money. There’s lots of other factors to consider. So just don’t be too confident in your analysis of these charts. But the general concern is definitely valid. And there very well could be plenty of room for the market to rise until its crash (although this would make the crash more severe, so it’s not exactly a good thing)
Depends how you view this information. The idea of a bubble or a crash is the level was too high, and if you are suggesting we have not recovered from the dot com bubble, then I would suggest that makes things look a lot healthier, as you wouldn't want to reach those highs very quickly anyway. You would want a regression to the mean, which is normally about a 50% retracement, then a gradual increase thereafter.
Another evidence that's showing the market is always going up. With these charts, we can see that the market isn't completely detatched from reality. Inflation is transforming these charts to weird highs 😉 Good video !