Recession Is Coming. When Will The Stock Market Crash?
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Recession Is Coming: When Will The Stock Market Crash?
The global economy has been experiencing a period of significant volatility lately, raising concerns about an upcoming recession. As experts and analysts closely monitor various economic indicators, one question keeps lingering in the minds of investors and everyday individuals alike: when will the stock market crash?
Recessions are an inevitable part of the economic cycle. They occur when there is a significant decline in economic activity, resulting in lower production, increased unemployment, and a general slowdown in various sectors. The last recession, commonly referred to as the Great Recession, began in 2008 and was triggered by the subprime mortgage crisis in the United States. Since then, the global economy has slowly recovered, but recent events have raised red flags and have many economists predicting another downturn.
While it is nearly impossible to predict the exact timing of a stock market crash or a recession, there are certain indicators that can provide valuable insights. One metric that is frequently used to assess the health of the economy is the inverted yield curve. This occurs when long-term interest rates become lower than short-term rates, indicating that investors have little confidence in the long-term prospects of the economy. Historically, an inverted yield curve has preceded many recessions, including the Great Recession. Currently, some financial experts are pointing to the inversion of the yield curve as a sign that a recession may be looming.
Another significant factor to consider is the performance of the global manufacturing sector. Manufacturing activity is often seen as a reliable indicator of economic health. A slowdown in manufacturing activities signifies a decrease in demand, which can have a domino effect on other sectors. In recent months, manufacturing data has shown signs of contraction, particularly in countries like Germany and China. This has further fueled concerns about an upcoming recession.
Moreover, geopolitical tensions, such as trade wars and political uncertainties, can significantly impact the stock market and ultimately trigger a crash. The ongoing trade dispute between the United States and China has already introduced considerable volatility and uncertainty into global markets. Any further escalation of tensions or unexpected events could potentially disrupt the global economy and trigger a market crash.
It is important to note that while these indicators are indeed worrisome, they do not guarantee a recession or a stock market crash. The economy is influenced by a multitude of factors, some of which remain unpredictable. It is also worth mentioning that experts and analysts can have varying opinions and predictions. One economist might forecast a recession in the near future, while others may believe the economy will remain stable for a while longer.
For investors, it is crucial to stay informed and devise a well-thought-out investment strategy that accounts for potential downturns. Diversifying portfolios, monitoring economic indicators, and seeking advice from financial professionals can help mitigate risks and navigate volatile market conditions.
In conclusion, while the possibility of a recession and a stock market crash exists, it is impossible to predict the exact timing or severity. Economic indicators, such as the yield curve and manufacturing data, provide valuable insights but should be considered in conjunction with other factors. Investors should remain vigilant, informed, and prepared for potential market fluctuations, as uncertainty remains a constant characteristic of the global economy.
The market's direction can swiftly change, with indexes frequently transitioning from a bear market to a bull market precisely when the news is most negative and investor sentiment reaches its lowest point. I came across an article highlighting individuals who achieved profits of up to $150,000 during challenging market periods. Considering this, I am curious about the best stocks to purchase now or add to a watchlist.
Keep in mind folks that the price of gold and silver doesn't go up much in value but your dollars always go down in value
Can you explain pension funds plus Annuity funds.
I have both and am a middle class person.
Thanks
A recession is always "just around the corner." The question is, how long until we reach the corner.
Great advice about time in the market. I have been in the market since 20 or so. Now at retirement. Large gains, but a lot of ups and downs along the way.
These are fantastic takes, I feel exceptionally lucky I started investing in my early 30s and moved from an average lifestyle to earning over 34k each month through consistently compounding my income via assets to create more cash flow. I grew to a 7 figure well-diversified portfolio knowing where to focus having exposure to different prolific investments mainly savings account, stocks, bonds and high yield dividend funds. Forever grateful to my adviser Robin N Brezik. Passive income is mandatory for building long term wealth and ever since I met him, my life has taken a positive turn because of the passive income through her knowledge and ideas, which are crucial for succeeding against all odds in this area of online commerce. I'm happy that I was able to contact him earlier this year.
While doing your market analysis, you also have to consider all the people filled with hopes of no recession. We have yet to exceed the all-time highs in the s&p. Until such time, we are still in a bear market. This has been what's known as a bear market rally. Mark my words, the market is going down more. I don't really know how you can say the markets will rally from here. The market is already showing signs of weakness and an inability to move higher.
At the end of ‘26
Interesting , a number of the most eminent market experts have been expressing their views on the severity of the impending economic downturn and the extent to which equities might plummet. This is because the economy is heading towards a recession and inflation is persistently above the Federal Reserve's 2% target.I need ideas and advice on what investments to make to profit during such economic times.
My retirement account – government thrift savings plan – doesn’t have much flexibility. Target funds, index fund, bond fund and cash fund. I can’t just pick individual strong companies and buy the their bonds to off set stock volatility. So I often can’t follow even good advice. Like to get CDs now, I’d have to take out some cash from the TSP and buy CDs at my bank. Not sure that makes sense for me.
However I do know my goals etc. I’ll have my mortgage paid of this year and I’m 55.
Really appreciate your timely and informative videos. Many thanks.
I used to think every investor went broke during recessions, meanwhile some make millions. I also thought everybody went out of business during the Great Depression, but some went into business. Bottom line, there's always depression for some, and profit for others, it all starts from having the right mindset. That said, I've set asides $250k to invest for future, unfortunately l'm a complete noob.
I don’t really care if a recession is coming. I only care if the US stock market is fairly valued. Right now, I believe the US stock market is expensive, so I quit buying stocks until it gets fairly valued again. I’m not sure when that will be, though…
Dips are the market's way of setting the stage for the next big rally! Remember, every setback is a setup for a comeback. If you're feeling uncertain, take a step back and look at the bigger picture. The crypto world is full of opportunities, and those who stay informed and patient often reap the biggest rewards. Dive deep, do your research, and always be ready to seize the moment, A noteworthy acknowledgment goes to Kerrie Farrell, whose proficiency has been instrumental in expanding my portfolio to 17 Btc within a mere 9 weeks of delving into the crypto realm. I strongly endorse her for anyone seeking to enhance their investments…
I want to diversify my portfolio across different stocks and sectors to minimize risk. I’ve heard of people accruing over $550k during recessions, how do I achieve this?
I have 80% in cash. Does that make me a pessimist or a patient optimist that a deal is coming?
Slush from the Trillions of printed money is the only thing keeping economy going, but doing nothing for debt crisis and financial stability.
I have been in a personal recession period since 2020.
In 2023, I bought a pair of flip flops, a knapsack, a cotton blanket, a tank top. Nothing else besides food. If we look at what we already have, we don’t need a lot.
RESIST the emotional component of investing. The market looks the best at the top and the worst at the bottom. A question I ask myself: Would I feel worse if IN the market when it goes down
orfeel worse being OUT when it goes up?We may have dodged a bullet for now. The ugly truth is as long as oil remains high, companies will struggle with costs. The gorilla no one wants to a acknowledge is the National debt service. It’s a deep hole to climb out of. Taxes will rise.
Straightforward comments and analysis.
Millionaires diversify billionaires do Not…
Azul! I truly enjoy your videos! You speak the truth! Thank you ❤
Although< I have interests in global economics I don't watch the news anymore… I have enough FUD. Thanks for this news and offering your insight on how to navigate during unfortunate times/events like this. You're right about keeping level headed when investing so that's why I think it's important to limit the amount of FUD we consume. I don't watch the media but the news that you present has enough to know issues going on without riding the emotional rollercoaster if I were to watch the news everyday. Now I Just buy and just trade long term more than ever, I have made over 14btc from day trading with Jacob Kucia Signal in few weeks, rather than hold for a future you aren't sure about.
I have been waiting 3-4 months for that buying opportunity but now thinking of DCA into the market instead.
I think we will have a mild or no recession. This is due to demographics. As boomers become a larger and larger retired non working group that keeps on spending in retirement, they will leave vacant jobs and empty houses. As boomers homes go on the market by the thousands home prices will fall. As their former jobs r filled unemployment will remain low. This all encourages household formation. This will take place over many years
No one is talking about this. Don’t know why.
You lost me with this one. Nonsense and click bait.
No it's not. You can't predict this stuff. Also, even if it does, great time to invest then as you will not only recover what you lost when it comes back up, but make more money on what you were investing when it was down!
I just keep investing. The stock market go up and down every day.
My retirement window is 3 – 6 yrs out and if a recession hits, the sooner the better so I can ride the wave back up. And the stock market is like a wave, it goes up and goes down. Stay diversified and stay the course. Oh, and vote blue no matter who. Your life and democracy itself is at stake. Better woke than morally broke.
Many investors and economists are concerned about the global economy due to rising debt, political instability, and the effect of COVID-19 pandemic. Experts warn that these factors could lead to an economic downturn or recession.
You never have to worry about these things if you live within your means, saved some money and have good investments. Nothing that happens in the economy has EVER had a negative effect on me and my family. NEVER ! It has however had a positive effect because we do not worry about it and take advantage of it by continually putting money in. Our money has more than tripled after each crash. Just stupid simple but it eludes many people. As you say.. too much emotion and not enough logic in their lives.
What did you buy that you saved all this money on?
How can I make a secure 5-6% yearly income instead of this nonsense market..I’m still down 10% from January 2021..I don’t have the luxury of time at 68….It always seems like 1 foot forward and 2 feet back..This so call Bull Market doesn’t cut it for me..
I find it odd that we are constantly told that time in the market is more important than timing the market, yet people seem obsessed with when the next recession will hit. Stop caring about it. Keep up with contributing and stay disciplined about it.
Nobody can predict the future, so I just keep in the market. In the long term I'm always up.
Thank you Fed for the gift of a bad economy.
There’s been a recession coming since the current administration has been around. They won’t allow it, they’re too smart