Will the Gold Price Rise or Fall in a Recession?

by | Nov 18, 2023 | Recession News | 31 comments

Will the Gold Price Rise or Fall in a Recession?




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Where will the gold price go during a recession? Most people seem to think that an economic downturn should coincide with gold price going up. But we provide a detailed look at the gold price in a recession and find out that’s not always the case.

Gold prices are naturally impacted by many factors – manufacturing, GDP growth, real estate prices, inflation, yields etc. Any good gold forecast should keep them in mind. At this moment in time we even have several other factors affecting it – the U.S.-China trade war and Brexit. The combination of all this has increased the chance of a recession to 31.5%

Many investors and traders monitoring the situation feel that a recession should cause a massive influx into gold, the perennial safe-haven asset, thus boosting its price. You can find many a gold price forecast touting numbers like $2000, $3000 and even more.

Nothing is impossible but a gold analysis relying only on one single factor – the emergence of a recession – would be limited. Just like the gold price in 2019 has shown us – it’s always the combination of all factors that governs the trend, not one single event or piece of data.

Hit the like button if you enjoyed our Gold price in a recession: Up or Down video and make sure to subscribe to the capital.com channel for more gold technical analysis, as well continued coverage of the gold price in 2020.

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The price of gold has always been a popular subject of discussion, especially during times of economic uncertainty. With the global economy currently facing the possibility of a recession, many people are wondering whether the price of gold will go up or down.

Historically, gold has often been seen as a safe-haven investment during times of economic turmoil. This is because gold is considered to be a stable store of value, and many investors see it as a hedge against inflation and currency devaluation. As a result, the demand for gold tends to increase during recessions, which can drive up its price.

There are several factors that can contribute to an increase in the price of gold during a recession. Firstly, as mentioned earlier, the demand for gold tends to rise during periods of economic uncertainty. Investors seek out safe-haven assets like gold in order to protect their wealth from the potential devaluation of paper currency or the increased volatility of the stock market. This increased demand can drive up the price of gold.

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Furthermore, central banks and governments often increase their gold purchases during recessions, further boosting demand and driving up the price. In addition, the fear of inflation and currency devaluation can also drive up the demand for gold, leading to an increase in its price.

However, it’s important to note that the price of gold is also influenced by other factors, such as supply and demand dynamics, geopolitical tensions, and changes in interest rates. For example, a strong US dollar can dampen the price of gold, as it makes the metal more expensive for foreign buyers.

In addition, during times of economic distress, some investors may be forced to sell their gold holdings in order to raise cash, which can put downward pressure on the price of gold.

Overall, while history suggests that the price of gold may increase during a recession, it’s important to remember that a variety of factors can influence its price. Therefore, it’s difficult to predict with certainty whether the price of gold will go up or down during a recession.

Regardless of the price movements in the short-term, many financial experts still see gold as a valuable addition to a diversified investment portfolio, especially during times of economic uncertainty. Its stability and safe-haven status make it an attractive option for investors seeking to protect their wealth during periods of economic distress.

In conclusion, while the price of gold may rise during a recession due to increased demand and other factors, it’s important to consider the broader economic context and potential influences on the metal’s price. As always, it’s best to approach investment decisions with a well-informed mindset and seek the advice of a financial professional if needed.

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31 Comments

  1. Noctilucent

    Damn gold was cheap back 3 years ago

  2. QuadTap

    i am from the future… 1500 is cheap for gold but wait until you see what bitcoin does

  3. Elvis mark

    I believe I should watch a video on "How to survive the current recession" given the state of things. Actually, it's a complete failure. The fact that some people could still earn more than $$$k in a short period of time astounded me. If that's still the case, please explain how.

  4. L SHEPHERD

    talk too much , no answer

  5. emascatul

    2022 Sep – Gold is 1725!

  6. Anush Iyyer

    I have seen you.
    Did you worked in Ozark ?

  7. Douglas Hagan

    You see you think that gold is a hedge against inflation do you really think so when the market crashes do you think gold is going to be protected while the dollar and value inflation takes over

  8. Karl Braveman

    What about silver in a recession? I'd love to hear your views….

  9. GreasyFishTacos

    What are the chances of this video before the pandemic lmao buy gold its always going up

  10. Lori

    Who would have though… a pandemic? Gold is going up up up

  11. surveyguyor

    the price drifted off? you jsut didn't wait long enough. use your brain, as your chart shows it was stagnant around 1400 for a long time, well now it's 1800 7 months later. we all knew it was a good buy back in Oct. while you were badmouthing it. I bet you are regretting it now, and I bet you've bought it now.

  12. Tradeon

    Totally disagree. I think that economy will revive if FED helicopters $12000 a month per capita instead of $1200.
    Everyone sees that having a pot of porige is nothing. What matters is how many spoons you have to dig into.
    FED is distributing spoons. But the pot stays the same.
    From Russia with laugh.

  13. Искатель Mира

    Hey man. thanks for the video . is this still valid , even after the COVID-19 crises ?

  14. Kai Zana

    Bitcoin

  15. Tim Furlong

    My local gold store said if gold goes up above $3500 they won't be able to stay in business. Because people won't have the money to buy gold and everyone would want to sell

  16. T

    Thanks!

  17. Dreamstarworld 1

    If you go 2 the US Debt Clock & you look in bottom right-hand corner you will see that #Gold should be trading at $7264 per ounce, however, continued price manipulation, ETFs & a whole plethora of nuances keep the #GoldPrice meandering back & forth… The break out will come when the "MOTHER" of all #StockMarketCrashes occurs plunging the world into what can only be described as #DarkAgesII where those who hold #HardAssets like #Gold #GoldBackedCryptocurrency #Silver #Platinum #Palladium will be the ones who will be the movers & shakers!!! #StayTuned

  18. Mr Johny

    Gold will come down to 500$ wait for that time. This could be as early as 3400 ad

  19. Deezy

    Can US use this platform?

  20. Mark Nordgård

    Nobody knows and any prediction can bee right

  21. Mark Nordgård

    US dept more then 23 000 000 000 000 $ and stockmarket rally and ath are crazzy

  22. Metal Bum

    Gold is the best hedge of its a recession or downturn related to debt issues and money printing.

  23. PEP Leather Lab

    But unlike ALL previous global history, this is the first time that an 'all out assault' on the dollars value structure has been taking place. QE1, QE2, Operation Twist, QE4,5,6,..infinity until it dies. It's bound to end horrifically and the world knows it thanks to modern telecommunications and media. The Jinni is out of the bottle and central bankers are wandering around in the dark trying not to step on the confidence landmine. I'm sticking with gold thank you very much.

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