Yves Giroux, Parliamentary Budget Officer, asks if Canada will face a recession in 2023.

by | May 9, 2023 | Recession News | 37 comments

Yves Giroux, Parliamentary Budget Officer, asks if Canada will face a recession in 2023.




Parliamentary budget officer Yves Giroux, The Globe and Mail’s Robert Fife and The Star’s Stephanie Levitz discuss the economy.

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The COVID-19 pandemic has had a profound impact on economies worldwide, and Canada is no exception. While the country seemed initially to weather the storm with limited impact, concerns are mounting as to whether Canada will see a recession in 2023.

According to Parliamentary Budget Officer Yves Giroux, current projections indicate that the Canadian economy will not return to pre-pandemic levels until 2023. The Canadian economy is projected to grow by 6.5% in 2021, followed by a growth rate of 3.2% in 2022, before slowing to just 1.9% growth in 2023. In other words, the Canadian economy will not return to normal levels of growth until 2023.

There are several factors at play that could contribute to a recession in 2023. One of the primary concerns is the impact of government debt. The Canadian government has already committed over $400 billion in response to the pandemic, which has caused the federal debt to skyrocket. While necessary to support Canadians during the crisis, this level of government debt is not sustainable in the long term, and may contribute to a recession in the future.

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Another factor at play is the potential for inflation. As the economy rebounds and demand for goods and services increases, prices are likely to rise. This could lead to a rise in interest rates, which could put pressure on Canadian households that are already heavily indebted. A rise in interest rates could also lead to a drop in housing prices, which could have a ripple effect throughout the economy.

Finally, the COVID-19 pandemic is still ongoing, and there is the potential for additional waves of infection and related lockdowns. This could have a profound impact on businesses and the economy as a whole, potentially leading to a recession in 2023.

While there are many potential factors at play, it is important to remember that a recession is not inevitable. The government can take steps to support the economy, such as investing in infrastructure projects and providing targeted support to industries that have been hit hard by the pandemic. Canadian households can also take steps to reduce their debt levels and prepare for a potential recession.

Overall, the risk of a recession in 2023 is real and should be taken seriously. However, if the government and Canadians take steps to prepare and support the economy, it is possible to avoid a recession and create a more resilient and sustainable economic future.

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37 Comments

  1. Ghost

    Liberals are destroying our economy

  2. Aurora Fassnacht

    Drifting into the trading world without the help of a professional trader and expecting profits is like turning water into wine, you would need a miracle, that's why i trade with Hilder Ferguson her skills set is exceptional.

  3. Ken Warner

    Why would anyone believe this outlet of misinformation and Trudeau money?

  4. Parrot Das

    There should definitely be a recession in Canada. What is the logic of paying more than $2000 a month to the citizens of Ukraine for no reason?

  5. Commonsense 101

    Canada will only fall into a recession if the USA, the UK, and the EU do also. And since the Liberals do not run any of those places it would be difficult to blame them.

  6. Kim Pinkham

    Take away the credit card

  7. Greg O

    2023 will be worse than 2022…

  8. John .A. Gonsalves

    'Will we see a recession', O Canada denying the reality that we are in will not elevate the pain to come.

  9. Kevin McKenna

    What a stupid question, we’re already in a recession and will be lucky to avoid a depression with increasing taxes. Do some actual journalism you shills.

  10. Lucas Cordero

    Because wealth usually moves during recessions, the more stocks fall, the more I buy. In the meantime, I'm just focusing on increasing my investments and income while recession fears grow. I read about someone who made $550k in profit in just six months, so there are apparently ways to triple gains in the current market. Which stocks are the best to buy right now or add to a watchlist?

  11. Patrick

    Bunch of parasites.

  12. David Way

    MONEY SLUT KNOWLEDGE

  13. David Way

    NEW PLAGUES.

  14. David Way

    AND UGLY DEATH IS REAL CHEAP.

  15. Jayde Shaw

    So many pedophiles in our government

  16. LTT VAN

    LOL, strong employment market =))) . Canada has the worse employment market I ever seen in my whole life, like 200-300 applications & not more than 10 interviews. Whereas in South East Asia, you apply 10 applications and the phone call is nearly non-stop

  17. Ougmass

    In my opinion, and I hope I am wrong, the bank of Canda is attaking the demand, while supply is actually the major issue, on which the BoC has no control. The paradox is that the BoC is exacerbating the significant factor of inflation which is supply, by knoking down the purchsing power of Canadians. So, unless the supply from import,the sustainable labor market and productivity are on the Rendez-vous, the recession will finish off the economy.

  18. VartakM v

    It's high time now ….increase oil production and sell. We will be alright.

  19. Dan Boden

    Covid was just a big coincidence too.Yeah right.

  20. animus33

    I believe that everything points to destroy the middle class…

  21. Mark Fair

    2023 is the start of bad time's to come with a depression in wait.
    Government must stop spending.

  22. TheIron Smith

    STEPHANIE LOOKS UNHAPPY. COULD BE JUST TOXIC

  23. Strangedanimal Johnson

    A crystal ball lol… A tennis ball could tell you we have been in a recession for years already. "if it happens" ,, what a stupid thing for them to be told to say.

  24. CanadianSpeedster

    No need to worry, taking away hunting rifles from law abiding citizens will solve everything.

  25. Bob Lee

    With this federal failure of a government recession is guaranteed

  26. Para Trooper

    Yup… thanks to JT and his trillion dollar deficit.

  27. Sfb

    What the Foukh are these guys talking about???? YOU guys do realize we live in the culture of information… ediots

  28. Whozonfirst

    Not to worry. This recession will not affect the rich.

  29. Korky

    We’ve been in a recession for a year and a half already. Civil war is next.

  30. Nima Akhtar Khavari

    Just cancel Disney+ and everything is gonna be alright…

  31. Maxim Tihonov

    We're already in recession. Even blind and ignorant can see it.

  32. gattsu glory

    No recession. More inflation because china's and other countries are affected by covid and there will affect supply driving up inflation

  33. Lone Wanderer

    With the fascists doing everything they can to destroy the country, I would say things can only get worse…. like every year since 2015.

  34. Satyake Bakshi

    Counting informal jobs doesn't count for employment IMO.

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