Former NEC Chief Economist Joe Lavorgna Warns That Recession May Begin in Any Quarter.

by | Apr 24, 2023 | Recession News | 46 comments




SMBC’s Joe Lavorgna parses Powell’s market talk at The Washington Economic Club today. With CNBC’s Melissa Lee and the Fast Money traders, Tim Seymour, Bonawyn Eison, Dan Nathan and Guy Adami. For access to live and exclusive video from CNBC subscribe to CNBC PRO:

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BREAKING: Recession News

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Joe Lavorgna, the former Chief economist of the National Economic Council, has recently warned that the next recession could begin at any moment. According to Lavorgna, several signs indicate that the economy may be at risk for a downturn soon.

Lavorgna has been closely monitoring the economic indicators, such as the yield curve, which is a measure of the difference between short-term and long-term interest rates. The yield curve has inverted several times over the past year, which means that short-term rates are higher than long-term rates. An inverted yield curve is often a sign that investors are nervous about the future and expect the economy to slow down.

Furthermore, the global trade war and other geopolitical events have also created uncertainty, which has led businesses to postpone investments and hiring decisions. This, in turn, can slow down economic growth and eventually lead to a recession.

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Lavorgna has also raised concerns over the levels of corporate and government debt. The US federal government is running a large deficit, and many companies have taken on significant amounts of debt over the past decade. High levels of debt can make it difficult for companies and governments to cope with a downturn, as they may struggle to pay their debts or borrow more money.

While Lavorgna acknowledges the strength of the current economy, with low unemployment rates and strong consumer sentiment, he suggests that these positive indicators could be fleeting. In his opinion, it is only a matter of time before the next recession hits.

The timing of a recession is difficult to predict, and it is possible that Lavorgna’s warnings will prove to be premature. However, it’s always a good idea for individuals and businesses to prepare for economic uncertainty. This could involve paying down debt, building up savings, and exploring ways to diversify income and investments.

In conclusion, while it is unclear when the next recession will hit, the signs point to a potential downturn in the near future. The warning from Lavorgna is a reminder that economic cycles are inevitable, and it is important to be prepared for the unexpected.

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46 Comments

  1. stone Michael

    I HAVE ATTRACTED SO MUCH LOSES TRADING ON MY OWN … I TRADE WELL ON DEMO BUT I THINK THE REAL MARKET IS MANIPULATED. CAN ANYONE CAN ANYONE HELP ME OUT ? OR AT LEAST TELL ME WHAT AM DOING WRONG?

  2. S. £BBY

    Spot on

  3. Retrovirus

    I agree with what this guy is saying 100%.

  4. Eduardo Fry

    <Thanks bud for keepin us financially Educated! Regardless of how bad it gets on the economy, I still make over $22,000 every single week

  5. Leo Sicairos

    Well, can it start sooner already? I have dinner plans.

  6. Mark H

    No recession occurs, in spite of all these talking heads screaming about the Fed causing the big recession forcing them to pivot. Complete and utter nonsense. The economy is rolling along. The market keeps chugging along. Climbing the proverbial wall of worry.

  7. Rachel Fernandez

    Most times it amazes me greatly the way I move from an average lifestyle to earning over 63k per month, utter shock is the word. I have understood a lot in the past few years to doubt that opportunities abound in the financial markets, The only thing is to know where to focus…

  8. Dennis Cox

    Recessions are part of the economic cycle, all you can do is make sure you're prepared and plan accordingly. I graduated into a recession (2009). My 1st job after college was aerial acrobat on cruise ships. Today I'm a VP at a global company, own 3 rental properties, invest in stocks and biz, built my own business, and have my net worth increase by $500k in the last 4 years.

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  11. Jefzelif

    A recession as bad it can be, provides good buying opportunities in the markets if you’re careful and it can also create volatility giving great short time buy and sell opportunities too. This is not financial advise but get buying, cash isn’t king at all in this time!

  12. Steven Anthony

    Imagine being born dumb AND ugly. This guy nailed both.

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  14. Dylan Braine

    A recession as bad it can be, provides good buying opportunities in the markets if you’re careful and it can also create volatility giving great short time buy and sell opportunities too. This is not financial advise but get buying, cash isn’t king at all in this time.

  15. Raghu

    That’s so dumb..! We’re already

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