Gary Tanashian, @garynftrh2491 editor and publish of Notes From the Rabbit Hole (NFTRH.com) discusses the current macro, the meaning of the breakout in Gold and why Gold and gold miners will really soar after the coming bust.
Recorded Thursday April 11
0:00 Intro
1:25 Macro View: Stagflation or Disinflation
4:30 Signals of New Inflationary Phase
6:55 In New Economic World Now
9:00 Gold Breakout is Telling Us Something
12:25 Impact of Secular Bear in Bonds
15:55 Gold Mining Fundamental Drivers
19:50 Silver Technical Target of $35
24:35 Gold/Silver Ratio
28:50 Other Markets
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Gold prices hit a six-year high recently, sparking speculation that the stock market may be on its last legs. The precious metal has long been seen as a safe haven for investors during times of economic uncertainty. But with gold breaking out to its highest level since 2013, some experts are sounding the alarm that the stock market may be in trouble.
Gold has traditionally been seen as a hedge against inflation and economic downturns. When the stock market is volatile or on the brink of a crash, investors often turn to gold as a way to protect their investments. In recent weeks, gold prices have been steadily climbing, with analysts pointing to a number of factors.
One of the main drivers behind the surge in gold prices is the ongoing trade war between the United States and China. The trade dispute has rattled global markets, leading to uncertainty and fear among investors. As a result, many are turning to gold as a safe haven to protect their wealth.
Additionally, geopolitical tensions around the world are also contributing to the rise in gold prices. With conflicts ranging from Iran to North Korea, investors are seeking out assets that are less vulnerable to political upheaval. Gold, with its intrinsic value and stability, has become an attractive option for many.
The Federal Reserve’s recent decision to cut interest rates has also played a role in boosting gold prices. Lower interest rates typically lead to a weaker US dollar, which in turn makes gold more affordable for foreign investors. This has helped drive up demand for the precious metal, pushing prices higher.
So, what does this mean for the stock market? Some experts believe that the breakout in gold prices is a sign that investors are losing faith in the stock market. As more and more people flock to gold, it could indicate a lack of confidence in equities and other riskier assets.
While the stock market has been on a bull run for the past decade, there are growing concerns that a correction may be on the horizon. With escalating trade tensions, slowing global growth, and uncertainty surrounding monetary policy, investors are becoming more cautious. The breakout in gold prices could be a warning sign that the stock market is on shaky ground.
Of course, it’s important to remember that gold is just one asset class among many. While its surge may be a cause for concern, it’s not necessarily a death knell for the stock market. Investors should always diversify their portfolios and not rely solely on one asset to protect their wealth.
In conclusion, the breakout in gold prices may be a signal that the stock market is facing headwinds. While it’s impossible to predict the future with certainty, investors should pay attention to the signs and be prepared for any potential market downturns. Diversification and a long-term perspective are key to weathering any storm that may come our way.
Let me answer your question at 8:30 — could the price action of gold/ the breakout from the beautiful C&H mean that whether the environment is inflationary or deflationary, gold will be very strong? Answer — yes exactly. That C&H is so perfect that and huge (13 years) that i think it has to resolve upward QUITE STRONGLY… your projections from other videos — 5k in 2026 etc… id even say that C&H points to just a revaluation to gold to something like 20K or 50K pretty soon (in the next 10 – 15 years maybe). Ppl dont understand the value of certain patterns…. ppl who are not aware of the perfect inverted H&S from mar 2008 – Sept 2009, and the breakout from there, or the much smaller inv. H&S in march april 2020 (neckline at 1700 I think it was) and the break out from there —- they dont get this stuff. The pattern tells it all —
IN CERTAIN CASES. And this is one of those cases. Nothing can stop gold now. Even if stock market corrects 50%, gold wont go below 2000 (at least not for long at all, even if it makes it below 2000). THats part of the different world & paradigm that we are in for gold now. ANNDDD when silver breaks 50 —then we enter a THIRD world. We are in the SECOND world now… second phase,, since gold C&H breakout. There was a much smaller C&H in euro-gold in the year 2009 i believe… thats the only other C&H ive seen in gold… and that 2009 euro-gold C&H was WAYYY weaker than the current USD-gold C&H. Thanks for the continued great videos JordanThanks
Thanks, nftrf has done a lot of great work. This amplifies the stellar work of Jordan. I predict most will underestimate the increase in volatility in all markets. I will be looking to see who will nail this top. I have seen estimates (pog) 2.7-3k. I care more about silver, but still have some huge leverage to pog. Viewership will ramp now with price.
Thanks guys, that was a great discussion. Very honest and easy to follow. Jordan, good to see you flourishing!! It's another sign we're in a bull market haha!!
This guy’s tagline is “I’m not sure”. A magic 8 ball toy would give more definitive answers.
Excellent shit
Keep stacking
for god sake something has to happen about all the spoofing that the banks are doing the ceo's & upper management are making millions & millions criminally by rigging & spoofing then laundering the illegal gains though big commissions & bonuses to the ceo's & upper management & whom ever is in on the ponzi scheme ( the doj & the regulators) from there it is funneled to oversees accts tax free, the irs has to be involved this will expose the doj & the regulators that are taking kickbacks to turn a blind eye to this crime, trading paper itself is not were the crime lies, the crime happens when they trade paper to decide the outcome of the physical spot price, this is considered racketeering, what would make this legal is to have a paper spot price, but oh no the criminals would lose their ability to rig the physical price & make millions, as it is every time they rig it they steal from the miners & the physical investor. disgusting. surely to god if all the youtubers push the justice & the irs they will have no choice to get their head out of their ass.
Glad to see you more active Jordan, I look at it as a good indicator for the gold space.
I appreciate the positive feedback of folks here. Jordan makes it easy to express oneself. Great interviewer!
China and India and rest of Asia is buying Silver now hand over fist (India Silver imports up 5x now since 2023?). Silver rising overnight last night is buoying Gold. Gold and Silver are hip-to-hip now (and Copper too)…pushing up together, in small push-pull cycles upward. Gold and Silver and Copper are up together many days now as debt, deficits, and inflation drive the metals and tangibles higher.
This morning Gold in a tight range, and Silver up ! Interesting times.
Below-2% CPI with a recession. Interview Steve Hanke.
The balloon in this economy will implode either just before the election or after the election similar to 2008.
Interesting, great conversation
Hey Jordan Let’s bust these metal markets I’m doing my part brother
Get those watchlists together boys. I'm waiting to see how stocks react to a few more hot inflation numbers.
Last time you had Gary on he left an invitation to follow him on twitter. Which I did and next time I went to his twitter site I was blocked for some reason. Is it a pay to view twitter page or something? You’re blocked
You can’t follow or see @NFTRHgt’s posts. Learn more
If silver holds out, it could go to $60+, big deficit in silver supply.
There isn't going to be an Election
Been alive since '65. Three things I've heard:
1. "China will dominate and take over the West; everyone should study Mandarian.
2. "The Dow will never break 10,000."
3. "Gold will replace everything and be KING!"
Here's hoping I get to live another 30 years so I can see what experts will say then. Probably 'something something living in outer space'.
Has Mexico not stopped mining silver ? Mexico is the largest WW silver producer
Idiot. How do you ignore central banks buying!? It is what has floated gold when it should probably should have been closer to $1000 then $2000 for the last couple years because binds were returning 5%? That shows HUGE money buying gold with money they don’t care about/at any cost.
Silver may not make a single "moon shot" like people may expect. Given the long time frame (decades) before this breakout, Silver could make multiple shots higher with many fake outs, before the ultimate blow off top.
Great guest!!
Thanks Jordan
It's rude to break character/interrupt the show for any reason. It is completely unnecessary to acknowledge a pet. I don't want to know about your pet and definitely don't want it to interfere with my education.
Black rock silver and silver viper worth a investment have a look
The US economy depends on continuous money printing, so I'm not sure how this guy doesn't understand inflation. I didn't find the guest's views to be definite about anything.
where is big money going to park? the stock market will never crash like 1930 or 2008 it might correct 20%
Cash was king.. now Gold is King..
When was this actually filmed? If it was in the last few days silver has broken out to begin to oufperform gold. Based on what he was saying this must be a week or more old.
Thanks Jordan for everything you do – enjoying your content
Thanks guys, great interview.