Liz Ann Sonders, Charles Schwab Chief Investment Strategist explains why she thinks the data shows that the US is in a ‘rolling recession.’
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Liz Ann Sonders, the chief investment strategist at Charles Schwab, has recently warned that we are currently in a “rolling recession”. This statement has drawn a lot of attention from investors, economists, and business leaders alike.
What is a rolling recession? It refers to a situation where certain sectors or regions of the economy are experiencing a recession, while other sectors or regions are growing. It creates a situation where the economy as a whole appears to be stable but is, in fact, experiencing a slow decline.
According to Sonders, the rolling recession is being fueled by a number of factors. One of the key factors is the ongoing trade war between the United States and China. The trade war has led to a decrease in global trade, which has had a ripple effect across different sectors of the economy.
Another factor is the rising levels of debt across the world. Countries, companies, and individuals have taken on enormous amounts of debt in recent years, which could lead to a financial crisis if it is not managed effectively.
Sonders also cites the aging population and its impact on the economy. As the population ages, there will be fewer people in the workforce, which could lead to lower economic growth and increased social welfare spending.
The rolling recession is also impacting different sectors of the economy differently. Sectors like technology and healthcare are still growing, but industries like manufacturing and retail are struggling.
So, what does this mean for investors and businesses? Sonders advises that it is important to have a diversified portfolio and to avoid investing heavily in one industry or sector. Businesses should also focus on long-term planning and be prepared for a possible economic downturn.
The rolling recession is a reminder that the economy is always changing and that it is important to be prepared for different scenarios. By keeping an eye on key indicators and being flexible in their approach, investors and businesses can help weather any economic storms that come their way.
This is the most intelligent macro analysis I've seen.
DO THE MATH THAT AS I'VE SAID MANY TIMES THAT ——– > IT'S A BIG TIME TO BUY GOLD + ENERGY THAT BECAUSE AS IT HAS BEEN EXPECTED, US FED CANNOT HIKE ITS FUNDS RATE ENOUGH TO DEAL WITH THE STAGFLATION!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!:) COMING 14TH OF DEC. THE FED WILL ONLY HIKES 50BP THAT'S IT!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!:) MEANS MORE AND MORE MONEY VALUES ARE GOING DOWN AND DOWN AGAINST THE COMMODITY'S INTRINSIC VALUE ESP GOLD + ENERGY!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!:)
AGAIN ———– > NEXT YEAR THE FED HAS NO OTHER OPTIONS BUT HIKING ITS FUNDS RATE INTO THE RANGE OF +7% – +8% BASED ON MORE THAN +98.99% PROBABILITY AS I'VE SAID MANY TIMES ALREADY!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!:) < ——— DO THE MATH!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!:)
AGAIN AND AGAIN DO THE MATH THAT CHINA (+H.K) REAL ESTATE SECTOR WILL BE COLLAPSING FURTHER AND FURTHER DEEPER AND DEEPER GOING MUCH MUCH MUCH MUCH MUCH MUCH LONGER THAN MARKET'S EXPECTATIONS THAT AGAIN CHINA REAL ESTATE SECTOR WILL BE GONE INTO (-)25% FURTHER FROM HERE IN 2023 AND H.K HOUSE PRICE IS GETTING CRASHED MORE THAN (-)40% IN 2023!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!:) AGAIN VERY SOON OR LATER CHINA (+H.K) WILL GO FROM EASING TO CHOKING LOCKDOWN AGAIN!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!:) < ———— DO THE MATH!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!:)
AGAIN AND AGAIN AS I'VE SAID THAT US REAL ESTATE SECTOR IS COMING DOWN AND DOWN BY (-)7% FOR 2022 + (-)17 – (-)21% FOR 2023 + (-)19% – (-)22% 2024 % = (-)40% +/- BEFORE END OF 2024 FROM HERE THAT AGAIN US REAL ESTATE MARKET HAVE TOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO MUCH DEBT TO GO FURTHER FROM THERE AND AGAIN US FED HAS ALREADY LOST A HUGE FIGHT WITH THE MARKET THAT IT IS TOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO BEHIND THE CURVE!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!:)
There are some heavily indebted billionaire who do not want the FED to raise rates because raising rates will tame inflation and help poor working families with their bills as it would run contrary to their billionaire wishes to erode the value of their takeover debts.
it feels good to see the market in green, but just how long until we actually break even, I’m the average retail trader, DCA-ing, buying and holding on to stocks for eons, but it’s like I’m up 5% today and down 17% the next week, Yes the market is very Darwinian, there’s winners and losers, and it’s looking like I’ve been on a losing streak, while others make huge 6figure gains in the same market. What strategies are these folks using?
4:50 How long is as long as possible. There's no reason to ease the conditions as long as the system able to absorb it and underlying fundamentals are unstable. Like supply chains and scarcity of energy. The decision is data driven not forecasts.
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Narrative change… we are in a recession…that will be the story for next couple months..
3.7 unemployment is not a recession. And never has been. Pure crap.
Go back to the old days buy and sell from each other take your money out the back. And stop supporting big corporations, prices are out of control never can catch up on my bills.
Disinflation?
LizAnn Sonders is a great analyst
AGAIN ———- > THE DEMAND FOR US$ IN CHINA (+H.K) IS ALREADY DEAD!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!:) < ———- SO HOW IS THE US FED ABLE TO REMOVE THE BIGGEST EVER SURPLUS US$ LIQUIDITIES THAT HAVE BEEN ACCUMULATED FOR THE LAST MORE THAN +40YEARS?!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!:) < ———- AGAIN US FED IS TOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO BEHIND THE CURVE < ——– WHO DENIES THE FACT?!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!:)
END IS END!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! UNDERSTAND?!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!:) OUR WORLD ESP US CHINA EUROPE POPULATION ARE AGAING AT SUPER FAST SPEED NOW AND THOSE SO CALLED BABY- BOOMER GENERATION HAVE TOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO MUCH DEBT AGAINST THEIR REAL ASSETS DUE TO SUPER LOW INTEREST RATES FOR THE LAST 2 DECADES THAT ————- > NOW 'THE MINSKY MOMENT' HAS BEEN STARTED IN A FULL SCALE UNDERSTAND?!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!:)
DO THE MATH THAT!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!:) WHY CHINA (+H.K) WILL REOPEN THEIR COUNTRY?? FOR WHOM??? FOR USA?? FOR EUROPE?? FOR THEIR OWN PEOPLE?!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!:) NONSENSE!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!:) AGAIN CHINA IS ALREADY ON THE WAY OF ' MARCH OF HARDSHIP' JUST LIKE N KOREAN STYLE IN 1990S!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!:)
AGAIN DO THE SIMPLE MATH!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!:) ———- > THAT ABOUT 20YR AGO US T – DEBT MARKET WAS AROUND +3T$ – 4T$ BUT NOW 26T$ MEANS FOR THE JUST 20YEARS US T – DEBT MARKET HAS BEEN EXPLODED MORE THAN (+)860%!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!:) <———- TOTALLY CRAZY AND NOW TIME TO PAY OFF WHAT THEY HAVE DONE < ———- WHO ABORB THOSE BUBBLES AND DEBT?!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!:) < ———— NOBODY!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!:)
AGAIN AND AGAIN IT'S STILL AN ENORMOUS TIME TO GO A BIG SHORT AGAIN AND AGAIN AGAINST THE STOCKS BONDS REAL ESTATES THAT ———- > NO MATTER WHAT THE FED TRIES TO DO <———— TOO LATE TO DEAL WITH THE FINANCIAL + SOCIAL + POLITICAL ENGINEERING PROBLEMS THAT ——— > AGAIN AND AGAIN SELL OFF STOCKS BONDS REAL ESTATES!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!:)
AGAIN AND AGAIN ————- > AS I'VE SAID MANY TIMES THAT CHINA(+H.K) WILL NEVER REOPEN EVEN AFTER 2030YR INTO THE RANGE OF 2040YR – 2045YR THAT MEANS ———— > THE DEMAND FOR US$ IN CHINA (+H.K) IS ALREADY DEAD!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!:) < ———- SO HOW IS THE US FED ABLE TO REMOVE THE BIGGEST EVER SURPLUS US$ LIQUIDITIES THAT HAVE BEEN ACCUMULATED FOR THE LAST MORE THAN +40YEARS?!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!:) < ———- AGAIN US FED IS TOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO BEHIND THE CURVE < ——– WHO DENIES THE FACT?!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!:)
AGAIN AND AGAIN DO THE MATH!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!:) AS I'VE SAID MANY TIMES SINCE THE 3RD Q OF 2021 THAT THIS IS NOT A JUST ' BOOM AND BURST' CYCLE THAT ————– > WHETHER YOU AGREE OR NOT WE ARE STRAIGHTLY HEADING TOWARDS THE BIGGEST ECONOMIC ARMAGEDDON NOW!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!:)
INDEED THE SPEED OF LOSING US$'S THE BIGGEST TRADING CURRENCY STATUS IN THE WORLD TRADING IS GOING AND ON AT SUPER FAST NOW THAT MORE AND MORE STAGFLATION FROM TOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO MUCH DEBT IS INEVITABLY HITTING THE ECONOMY AND NOW THE US FED HAS LOST A HUGE FIGHT WITH THE ECONOMY ALREADY!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!:)
AGAIN ———- > NOW FED FUNDS RATE AT (+) 4.0% VS ITS 10YR YIELD AT (+) 3.5860% = WOW!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! (-) 41BP!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!:) < ———– MAKE ANY SENSE?!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! US 10YR DEBT IS EVEN MUCH MUCH MUCH MORE EXPENSIVE THAN ITS FUNDS RATE!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!:) < ————- SO AGAIN DEEPER AND DEEPER EVEN HUGE DEEPER (-) INTEREST RATES IN US FINANCIAL SYSTEM IS CAUSING MORE AND MORE AND MORE AND MORE STAGFLATION MEANS MORE AND MORE AND MORE THE SUPER CYCLE OF THE COMMODITY MARKET IS GOING ON AND ON AND ON AND ON EVEN AFTER 2030YR AS I'VE SAID MANY TIMES ALREADY!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!:)
DO THE MATH THAT!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!:) ———– > AGAIN AND AGAIN MORE AND MORE UPSIDE OF STOCKS BONDS MEANS ————– > MORE AND MORE INFLATION COMING TO HIT THE ECONOMY THAT'S IT!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!:)
THERE WILL BE MUCH STRONGER COMMODITY SUPERCYCLE GOING ON AND ON BECAUSE US FED + ECB + ETC ARTIFICIALLY PRESSED DOWN THE COMMODITY MARKET AGAINST THEIR THE WORST OF THE WORST FINANCIAL ENGINEERING PROBLEMS AND NOW MORE AND MORE SOCIAL + POLITICAL ENGINEERING PROBLEMS ARE EVEN POURING MORE AND MORE FUELS INTO THE COMMODITY MARKET!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!:)
AGAIN AND AGAIN WE ARE SEEING THE LAST MOMENT OF US$ BITCOIN CHINA YUAN (+ H,K$) EURO POUND STOCKS BONDS REAL ESTATE SECTORS THAT AGAIN IT IS TOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO LATE TO DEAL WITH THE WORST OF THE WORST EVER FINANCIAL ENGINEERING PROBLEMS FROM TOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO MUCH BUBBLES OF CURRENCIES + TOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO MUCH DEBT!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!:)
2 MONTHS AGO I WROTE IT ——- > DO THE MATH THAT ——— > AS I'VE SAID MANY TIMES THAT IT'S A GOOD TIME TO BUY 'YEN' GRADUALLY INTO THE 4TH Q AND IN COMING YEARS TAHT AS I'VE SAID SINCE END OF JULY BOJ IS GOING TO STOP BONDS BUYING BY THE END OF 2022 BECAUSE JAPAN HAS BEEN MORE AND MORE SELLING OFF ITS T – BONDS + EU BONDS HOLDINGS AT MUCH MUCH MUCH FASTER THAN MARKET'S EXPECTATIONS!!!!!!!!!!:)
AGAIN AND AGAIN THAT GOLD PRICE IS RECOVERING ITS 2K$ RANGE VERY VERY SOON AND IT WILL BE GOING UP TO THE RANGE OF 3.5K$ AND IT WILL BE IN THE RANGE OF 10K$ -15K$ IN COMING YEARS DO THE MATH IF YOU CAN!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
AGAIN AND AGAIN NOW OIL PRICES ARE GETTING BACK TO ITS 130BB/LS TO 140BB/LS RANGE THAT AGAIN ———– > THE COMMODITY PRICES ARE GOING UP AND UP BY THE BIGGEST EVER DEBT BUBBLES + FROTHY CURRENCIES NOT BY DEMAND AND SUPPLY!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!:)
4:10 all anyone needs to know. Stop listening to bullshit.
We have been on a recession since the beginning of 2022, but big media and governments all over the world didn’t want to admit it. We need to be wise and use our brains. Knowledge is power and I’d like all the family to be powerful! I trade and hold profits, FLOYD JOHNSON has been doing a great job reviewing all chart, trade and techniques on BTC which has enhance the growth of my portfolio to 9.5 BTC lately….
What we need is a new definition of a recession to entertain with. Let’s see who comes up with a better definition wins the noble price in economics to save this economy. Redefining terms is the way to go when things go the right way. It makes everyone feels better and that’s the important thing.
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The truth is with this recent economy Everyone needs more than there salary to be financially stable. The the best thing to do with your money is to Invest it rightly because money left for saving always end up used with no returns….
Good call. This dog can hunt. Bring her on again.
The best interviewer in the biz with one of the best commentators…